Citation
CONFIDENTIAL
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RELEASED IN FULL
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ACTION AF-01
DAR ES 06819 01 OF 02 271234Z
DODE-00 EUR-01 HA-09
H-01
INFO LOG-00 CIAE-00 C-01
INRE-00 INR-01 L-03
ADS-00 NSAE-00 NSCE-00 OMB-01
PRS-01 P-01
SNP-00 SP-00
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7F550B 271235Z /38
O 271229Z NOV 92
FM AMEMBASSY DAR ES SALAAM
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9592
AMEMBASSY KIGALI IMMEDIATE
INFO AMEMBASSY PARIS
AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA
AMEMBASSY BONN
AMEMBASSY BRUSSELS
AMEMBASSY BUJUMBURA
AMEMBASSY HARARE
AMEMBASSY KAMPALA
AMEMBASSY LAGOS
AMEMBASSY LONDON
AMEMBASSY NAIROBI
USCINCEUR VAIHINGEN GE
CONFIDENTIALSECTION 01 OF 02 DAR ES SALAAM 06819
E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL, RW
SUBJECT: ARUSHA V: WAITING FOR THE RELIGIOUS LEADERS'
PROPOSAL
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DAR ES 06819 01 OF 02 271234Z
REFS:
(A) BENTLEY-FLATEN PHONECON 11/26/92, (B)
FULLER-BENTLEY PHONECON 11/26/92, (C) FULLER-BENTLEY
PHONECON 11/25/92, (D) DAR ES SALAAM 6786
1.
CONFIDENTIAL - ENTIRE TEXT.
2. FOLLOWING DRAFTED BY POLOFF BENTLEY IN ARUSHA MIDDAY
NOVEMBER 27.
3.
SUMMARY: THE RPF AND GOR CONTINUED TO HOLD
UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF STATE
REVIEW AUTHORITY: HARRY R MELONE
DATE/CASE ID: 12 JUL 2006 200600879
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
INCONCLUSIVE DISCUSSIONS NOVEMBER 26-27 WHILE WAITING
FOR WORD OF THE OUTCOME OF THE NOVEMBER 27 CABINET
MEETING. THE OBSERVERS MET WITH THE FACILITATOR
TANZANIA TO CONSIDER STEPS TO TAKE IF THE NOVEMBER 27
CABINET SESSION DOES NOT PRODUCE THE HOPED-FOR RESULT.
END SUMMARY.
4. AFTER GOR FONMIN NGULINZIRA TOLD THE NOVEMBER 25
PLENARY MEETING THAT HE HAD A MANDATE TO DISCUSS
POLITICAL ISSUES, SEVERAL MEMBERS OF HIS OWN DELEGATION
EXPRESSED, IN PRIVATE, CONTRARY VIEWS. REF C PHONECON
INDICATED THAT THE FOREIGN MINISTER HAD, AT THE LEAST,
MISSPOKE HIMSELF AND STIRRED UP A STORM IN KIGALI.
CONTRARY TO CONCERNS EXPRESSED IN KIGALI ON NOVEMBER 25
AND 26, HOWEVER, (REF A,B,C PHONECONS), THE GOR AND RPF
TEAMS DID NOT ENGAGE IN SUBSTANTIVE DISCUSSIONS ON THE
OUTSTANDING POLITICAL ISSUES, I.E., SHARING OF
PORTFOLIOS AND THE TRANSITIONAL NATIONAL ASSEMBLY. THE
RPF-GOR MEETING THAT FOLLOWED THE NOVEMBER 25 PLENARY
CONCENTRATED MOSTLY ON MODALITIES FOR IMPLEMENTING
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ARTICLE 14 OF THE PROTOCOL. ON NOVEMBER 26, THE GOR
TEAM SPENT MOST OF THE DAY IN DISCUSSIONS WITH ITSELF,
AS SEVERAL MPND MEMBERS HAD RAISED THE ISSUE OF THE
EXTENT OF THE FONMIN'S MANDATE. THE FONMIN HIMSELF TOLD
THE OBSERVERS ON NOVEMBER 26 THAT ALL HE HAD WAS A
TELEPHONE CALL FROM THE PRIME MINISTER, INSTRUCTING HIM
TO DISCUSS POLITICAL ISSUES IN A GENERAL WAY TO KEEP THE
RPF AT THE TABLE, AND TO RE-EXAMINE ARTICLE 14. HE WAS
TO KEEP TALKING WITHOUT MAKING ANY SUBSTANTIVE
COMMITMENTS UNTIL HE RECEIVED FORMAL INSTRUCTIONS FROM
KIGALI.
4. IN SHORT, NGULINZIRA IS STALLING UNTIL HE GETS THE
PROPOSAL BEING PREPARED BY THE BISHOPS (REF A
PHONECON). THE RPF HAS BEEN IN TOUCH WITH THEIR OWN
SOURCES, AND IS WELL AWARE OF WHAT IS GOING ON. THEY,
HOWEVER, HAVE DECIDED NOT TO PRESS HARD AT THIS JUNCTURE
BUT TO AWAIT WORD FROM KIGALI.
5. THE OBSERVERS MET ON NOVEMBER 26 WITH TANZANIAN
CHIEF SECRETARY PAUL RUPIA (THE GOT CHIEF SECRETARY IS
THE PRESIDENT'S CHIEF OF STAFF). RUPIA FELT THAT THE
FACILITATOR AND THE OBSERVERS SHOULD TAKE A MORE ACTIVE
ROLE IN HELPING THE PARTIES -- BOTH IN ARUSHA AND IN
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
KIGALI -- SURMOUNT THEIR OBSTACLES. HE CALLED ON THE
OBSERVERS TO ORGANIZE JOINT DEMARCHES ON THE PARTIES TO
MOVE THE PROCESS FORWARD. HE ALSO THOUGHT THE OBSERVERS
AND FACILITATOR SHOULD BE READY TO OFFER PROPOSALS OF
THEIR OWN TO HELP THE PARTIES BREAK FUTURE LOGJAMS.
6. ONE IDEA FLOATED BY THE UGANDAN OBSERVER IS THAT THE
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GOR AND RPF SHOULD BE ENCOURAGED TO DISCUSS SOME SORT OF
AMNESTY FOR ALL PARTIES. THE UGANDANS EVIDENTLY FEEL
THAT MANY MRND OFFICIALS FEAR BEING HELD PERSONALLY
ACCOUNTABLE FOR ACTIONS COMMITTED SINCE 1972, AND THE
PRESIDENT HIMSELF IS INCREASINGLY UNEASY REGARDING HIS
FUTURE PROSPECTS. THE RPF IS AGREEABLE TO THE IDEA IN
PRINCIPLE, BUT CAUTIONED THAT IT WOULD SPARK CONTROVERSY
AMONG THE OPPOSITION PARTIES, SOME MEMBERS OF WHICH ARE
DEMANDING AN ACCOUNTING FOR PAST ACTIONS. THE OBSERVERS
DID NOT REACH A CONSENSUS ON THE IDEA, AND IT HAS NOT
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ACTION AF-01
DAR ES 06819 02 OF 02 271234Z
DODE-00 EUR-01 HA-09
H-01
INFO LOG-00 CIAE-00 C-01
ADS-00 NSAE-00 NSCE-00 OMB-01
INRE-00 INR-01 L-03
SNP-00
SP-00
SS-00
PRS-01 P-01
PM-02
PA-01
/024W
USIE-00
TRSE-00 T-01
7F5512 271235Z /38
0 271229Z NOV 92
FM AMEMBASSY DAR ES SALAAM
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 9593
UNCLASSIFIED
AMEMBASSY KIGALI IMMEDIATE
INFO AMEMBASSY PARIS
AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA
AMEMBASSY BONN
AMEMBASSY BRUSSELS
AMEMBASSY BUJUMBURA
AMEMBASSY HARARE
AMEMBASSY KAMPALA
AMEMBASSY LAGOS
AMEMBASSY LONDON
AMEMBASSY NAIROBI
USCINCEUR VAIHINGEN GE
UNCLASSIFIED
C O N F I D E N T I A L SECTION 02 OF 02 DAR ES SALAAM 06819
E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL, RW
SUBJECT: ARUSHA V: WAITING FOR THE RELIGIOUS LEADERS'
PROPOSAL
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DAR ES 06819 02 OF 02 271234Z
YET BEEN RAISED IN GOR-RPF DISCUSSIONS.
8. THE TANZANIANS CONVENED A SECOND OBSERVER MEETING ON
NOVEMBER 27 TO CONSIDER CONTINGENCY PLANS IN CASE THE
GOR CABINET FAILS TO REACH AGREEMENT OR THERE ARE
FURTHER DELAYS. THE CONSENSUS OF THE MEETING WAS THAT
IF IT APPEARED THE PARTIES IN KIGALI WERE STILL UNABLE
TO REACH A CONSENSUS ON NOVEMBER 27, REPRESENTATIVES OF
THE FACILITATOR, THE OAU SECGEN (DR. MAPURANGA), AND THE
CURRENT OAU CHAIRMAN (AMB. PAPA LORIS FALL), SHOULD FORM
A DELEGATION TO PROCEED TO KIGALI AND, IN COORDINATION
WITH THE REPRESENTATIVES OF THE OBSERVER GOVERNMENTS IN
KIGALI, PRESENT A JOINT DEMARCHE TO THE PRESIDENT, THE
GOVERNMENT, AND (ONCE A MEANS HAS BEEN DETERMINED) TO
THE RPF. THE DEMARCHE WOULD BE COUCHED IN GENERAL TERMS
TO EMPHASIZE THE NEED FOR SPEED, FLEXIBILITY AND
COMPROMISE. THE OBSERVER REPS AGREED TO PROMPTLY
CONSULT THEIR GOVERNMENTS REGARDING THIS CONTINGENCY
PLAN, BUT STRESSED THAT THE GOR AND RPF SHOULD NOT BE
ALERTED IN ADVANCE TO WHAT WAS BEING CONTEMPLATED.
9. FOR KIGALI: THE MESSAGE IN REF A PHONECON WAS
PASSED TO ITS INTENDED RECIPIENT THE EVENING OF NOVEMBER
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26. HIS FEELING IS THAT DISCUSSIONS, WITHOUT
SUBSTANTIVE COMMITMENTS, SHOULD CONTINUE, AS THE
CONSEQUENCES OF SUSPENDING TALKS MIGHT BE WORSE. OTHER
OBSERVERS HERE ARE INCLINED TO SUPPORT THE VIEW THAT
NON-SUBSTANTIVE DISCUSSIONS SHOULD CONTINUE WHILE THE
PARTIES WAIT FOR FURTHER WORD FROM KIGALI. EWING
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