Citation
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ORIGIN AF-01
RELEASED IN FULL
STATE 214360 110811Z
INFO LOG-00 OASY-00 TEDE-00 ADS-00 ONY-00 SSO-00
DRAFTED BY: AF:FCOOK:TCW
APPROVED BY: AF/RA:LGSHURTLEFF
DESIRED DISTRIBUTION
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66BOOF 110815Z /38
P R 101453Z AUG 94
FM SECSTATE WASHDC
TO ALL AFRICAN DIPLOMATIC POSTS PRIORITY
AMCONSUL KADUNA PRIORITY 4232-43
AMCONSUL JOHANNESBURG PRIORITY 6711-22
AMEMBASSY KINSHASA PRIORITY
AMCONSUL DURBAN PRIORITY 0176-87
AMEMBASSY LUANDA PRIORTY 8772-83
AMCONSUL CAPE TOWN PRIORITY 4850-61
USLO MOGADISHU PRIORITY 8048-59
AMEMBASSY ASMARA PRIORITY 6171-82
AMEMBASSY BRATISLAVA PRIORITY 0093INFO USMISSION USUN NEW YORK 3338-49
AMEMBASSY LONDON 9054-65
AMEMBASSY PARIS 0520-31
AMEMBASSY LISBON 7250-61
CONFIDENTIALSTATE 214360
STADIS
FOR AMBASSADOR, DCMS, PRINCIPAL OFFICERS ONLY, FROM AF
E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL, US, XA
SUBJECT: AFRICA BUREAU FRIDAY REPORT 08/5/94
USUN FOR SHESTACK, LONDON FOR YOUNG PARIS FOR DALSIMER,
LISBON FOR DAVIS
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STATE 214360 110811Z
UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF STATE
REVIEW AUTHORITY: ARCHIE M BOLSTER
DATE/CASE ID: 04 NOV 2011 201005065
C57
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
/001R
1. (LOU) "FRIDAY REPORT", PREPARED FOR A/S WEEKLY
MEETING, FOLLOWS. SOME OF THE INFORMATION CONTAINED IN
THE REPORT IS SENSITIVE, DEALING WITH INTERAGENCY MATTERS
CURRENTLY UNDER DISCUSSION OR REVIEW. DISTRIBUTION SHOULD
THEREFORE BE CONFINED TO STATE PERSONNEL.
UNCLASSIFIED
2.
(U) BEGIN TEXT: FRIDAY REPORT 8/5/94
PARAGRAPH
TABLE OF CONTENTS
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
AF
AF/C
AF/E
AF/EPS
AF/EX
AF/RA
AF/S
10
11
12
AF/W
THIS WEEK IN CONGRESS
CALENDAR
THIS WEEK IN AF
-, ACTING ASSISTANT SERETARY BRYNN ACCOMPANIED ACTING
SECRETARY RICHARD MOOSE TO A PRINCIPALS COMMITTEE MEETING
TO DISCUSS NIGERIA, LIBERIA, ZAIRE, THE DEVELOPMENT FUND
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FOR AFRICA, AND CONFLICT RESOLUTION/PEACEKEEPING IN AFRICA.
4.
(C) AF/C
ZAIRE
-- REFUGEES, RELIEF, AND VIP VISITS:
THE RWANDAN REFUGEE CRISIS IN EASTERN ZAIRE CAPTURED MOST
OF THE ATTENTION INSIDE AND OUTSIDE THE COUNTRY. WELL
OVER A MILLION RWANDAN REFUGEES REMAIN IN ZAIRE IN CAMPS
FROM GOMA TO BUKAVU. THE U.S. HUMANITARIAN MISSION,
OPERATION SUPPORT HOPE, HAS HAD A MAJOR IMPACT IN
MITIGATING THE CRISIS, BUT DEATHS FROM CHOLERA AND
UNCLASSIFIED
DYSENTARY CONTINUE IN THE CAMPS. ELEMENTS OF THE FORMER
RWANDAN GOVERNMENT FORCES ARE A WORRISOME PRESENCE IN
ZAIRE, ALTHOUGH THE GOZ HAS MADE EFFORTS TO DISARM THE
MILITIA AND ARMY, AND HAS SUCCESSFULLY PREVENTED FORMER
RWANDAN OFFICIALS FROM HOLDING PROVOCATIVE MEETINGS IN
UNCLASSIFIED
ZAIRE. MOBUTU MET WITH THE NEW RWANDAN PRESIDENT IN PORT
LOUIS AND PLEDGED TO DISARM THE MILITARY TO PREVENT THE
FORMER REGIME FROM USING ZAIRIAN TERRITORY TO DESTABILIZE
THE NEW RPF-LED REGIME IN KIGALI. ZAIRIAN MINISTERS AND A
NUMBER OF FOREIGN DIGNITARIES VISITED GOMA AND ITS
ENVIRONS IN THE PAST WEEK, INCLUDING FRENCH PM BALLADUR,
DEFENSE SECRETARY PERRY, CONGRESSMAN PAYNE, A/S MOOSE,
OFDA HEAD BORTON, AND CODEL REYNOLDS. NEW YORK'S REVEREND
AL SHARPTON MAY VISIT GOMA ON A "FACT-FINDING MISSION" IN
THE NEAR FUTURE.
CAMEROON
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- - U.S.-CAMEROONIAN RELATIONS - DIFFICULT YET CORDIAL:
AMBASSADOR ISOM DEPARTED YAOUNDE AUGUST 4 FOR LEAVE EN
ROUTE TO A SIX-WEEK STINT WITH PROMOTION PANELS IN
WASHINGTON. SHORTLY BEFORE HER DEPARTURE SHE WAS CALLED
IN BY FOREIGN MINISTER OYONO, WHO WAS PERHAPS ANXIOUS TO
DIALOGUE IS STILL EVIDENT DESPITE OUR REMONSTRATIONS FOR
PROGRESS ON DEMOCRATIZATION, HUMAN RIGHTS, AND ECONOMIC
REFORM. AMBASSADOR ISOM NOTED CAMEROON SIMPLY HAD
PRODUCED NO CONCRETE RESULTS IN THESE AREAS WHICH ARE OF
GREAT CONCERN TO THE UNITED STATES.
EQUATORIAL GUINEA
-- HAIL AND FAREWELL:
AMBASSADOR BENNETT DEPARTED MALABO AFTER THREE YEARS OF
TIRELESS DEVOTION TO THE PROMOTION OF HUMAN RIGHTS AND
DEMOCRATIZATION IN EQUATORIAL GUINEA'S VERY DIFFICULT
CIRCUMSTANCES. OUR BEST WISHES GO WITH HIM AS HE MOVES ON
TO NEW CHALLENGES IN PANAMA. RETIRED ANNUITANT THOMAS
TIMBERMAN HAS TAKEN UP DUTY AS TEMPORARY CHARGE IN
MALABO.
RWANDA
- - WHAT A DIFFERENCE A YEAR MAKES:
UNCLASSIFIED
AUGUST 4 MARKED THE ONE-YEAR ANNIVERSARY OF THE SIGNING OF
THE ARUSHA ACCORD. FOR ALL THAT RWANDA'S SITUATION HAS
CHANGED OVER THIS PAST YEAR, ARUSHA STILL PROVIDES THE
FRAMEWORK FOR THE PRINCIPLES OF POWER-SHARING TO
FACILITATE NATIONAL RECONCILIATION IN RWANDA.
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STATE 214360 110811Z
-- EMBASSY OPENS:
ASSISTANT SECRETARY MOOSE OFFICIALLY REOPENED EMBASSY
KIGALI IN A SMALL CEREMONY DURING HIS VISIT THERE AUGUST 3.
BURUNDI
A/S MOOSE VISIT TO BURUNDI:
ASSISTANT SECRETARY MOOSE MET WITH BURUNDI'S POLITICAL AND
MILITARY LEADERSHIP DURING HIS VISIT TO BURUNDI. HE LEFT
WITH THE CONVICTION THAT MEN AND WOMEN OF GOOD WILL ARE
WORKING HARD TO ACHIEVE A SWIFT RESOLUTION OF THE
COUNTRY'S CURRENT POLITICAL PROBLEMS. UNFORTUNATELY HE
ALSO NOTED THE PRESENCE OF EXTREMISTS APPARENTLY
DETERMINED TO BLOCK A RESOLUTION TO THE PRESIDENTIAL
SUCCESSION ISSUE. IN A DEPARTURE STATEMENT, MOOSE
EXPRESSED THE HOPE THAT THOSE INDIVIDUALS WOULD NOT
DOMINATE MORE MODERATE VOICES.
CENTRAL AFRICAN REPUBLIC
- - AUGUST DOLDRUMS HIT BANGUI:
THE CENTRAL AFRICANS ARE KEEPING A LOW PROFILE, THE FRENCH
ARE ON VACATION, AND MUCH OF OUR EMBASSY IS EITHER ON
LEAVE OR AWAITING NEW ARRIVALS. JOINING THE EXODUS
AMBASSADOR GRIBBIN WILL VISIT CAR'S FOREST REGION AUGUST
6-13. SOON-TO-BE DCM JIM ENTWISTLE HAS BEEN CONSULTING IN
THE DEPARTMENT THIS WEEK.
GABON
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-
STATE 214360 110811Z
VIVE LA FRANCOPHONIE:
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
FRENCH PRIME MINISTER BALLADUR VISITED LIBREVILLE JULY
29-31, WHERE HE OPENED A NEW FRENCH CULTURAL CENTER,
TALKED ECONOMICS, AND PRAISED PRESIDENT BONGO AS THE
"DEAN" OF THE CENTRAL AFRICAN CHIEFS OF STATE. BALLADUR
ALSO MET WITH THE PRESIDENTS OF CAR, CHAD, AND EQUATORIAL
GUINEA, CARRYING A MESSAGE OF AUSTERITY DISCIPLINE, AND
RIGOROUS MANAGEMENT OF THE PUBLIC SECTOR. IN HIS SPEECH
AT THE CULTURAL CENTER, BALLADUR SAID THAT DESPITE A
RELATIVE POVERTY OF RESOURCES AND INFLUENCE IN THE WORLD,
FRANCOPHONIE WOULD CONTINUE TO THRIVE "FROM CANNES TO
OUAGADOUGOU, FROM AVIGNON TO COTONOU". BALLADUR SQUEEZED
IN A LITTLE 1995 PRESIDENTIAL POLITICKING WITH THE
RESIDENT FRENCH COMMUNITY IN A RECEPTION AT THE
AMBASSADOR'S RESIDENCE.
-- FAREWELL:
THE MARINE SECURITY DETACHMENT IN LIBREVILLE WAS
DEACTIVATED AS OF AUGUST 1. CHEERS AND FAREWELL TO THE
MARINES'
5. (C) AF/E
AF/E PERSONNEL:
AMBASSADOR-DESIGNATES ANDERSON (TANZANIA), STOKES
(SEYCHELLES) AND SOUTHWICK (UGANDA) HAD THEIR CONFIRMATION
HEARINGS ON 7/25; FINAL SENATE ACTION IS EXPECTED BY
AROUND 8/19. AMBASSADORS HOUDEK (ERITREA) AND PETTERSON
(SUDAN) ARE HERE ON CONSULTATIONS AND AMBASSADOR BRAZEAL
(KENYA) IS CURRENTLY SERVING ON THE PROMOTION BOARDS.
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DCMS PERLOW (MADAGASCAR) AND BUSH (UGANDA) ARE ALSO ON
CONSULTATIONS. KENYA DCM FOSTER ARRIVED AT POST TWO WEEKS
AGO AND SEYCHELLES NUMBER TWO BROWN WILL BE ARRIVING ON
8/5. THE KENYA/UGANDA AND TANZANIA/INDIAN OCEAN DESKS ARE
TURNING OVER THIS MONTH.
SUDAN
-- ADJOURNMENT OF IGADD PEACE TALKS:
THE LATEST ROUND OF THE IGADD PEACE TALKS ADJOURNED ON
JULY 29. LITTLE WAS ACCOMPLISHED OTHER THAN ESTABLISHING
THE DATES OF SEPTEMBER 5-7 FOR THE NEXT ROUND OF TALKS. A
PRESS RELEASE ISSUED BY THE COMMITTEE OF IGADD MINISTERS
AT THE CONCLUSION OF THE SESSION URGED ALL PARTIES TO BE
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
MORE FLEXIBLE AND EARNEST IN FUTURE TALKS.
KENYA
-- SHIPMENTS TO REFUGEES FACILITATED:
EMBASSY NAIROBI HAS SECURED GOK APPROVAL FOR AIR, RAIL AND
ROAD TRANSPORT OF RELIEF SUPPLIES TO RWANDA AND ZAIRE,
INCLUDING THE USE OF U.S. TRUCKS AND U.S. DRIVERS.
PRESIDENT MOI HAS FURTHER PROMISED TO WAIVE CUSTOMS FEES
AND INSPECTIONS OF CONVOYS AND HALT PROFITEERING ON RELIEF
OPERARATIONS.
TANZANIA
-- GOT TO FOLLOW UN LEAD ON DEALING WITH WAR CRIMINALS:
FOREIGN MINISTER RWEGASIRA REITERATED THAT TANZANIA IS
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STATE 214360 110811Z
WILLING TO COOPERATE FULLY WITH THE INTERNATIONAL
COMMUNITY IN BRINGING TO JUSTICE RWANDANS GUILTY OF
GENOCIDE AND WAR CRIMES. HOWEVER, THE GOT IS NOT PREPARED
TO DETAIN ALLEGED CRIMINALS UNTIL THE UN' THE COMMISSION
OF EXPERTS OR A WAR CRIMES TRIBUNAL IDENTIFIES THE
SUSPECTS AND REQUESTS THE GOT TO ARREST THEM. THE
MINISTER UNDERLINED THAT FOREIGN ASSISTANCE WILL BE
NECESSARY TO BOLSTER THE GOT'S SECURITY FORCES IN THE CAMPS
IF ARRESTS ARE TO BE MADE.
SEYCHELLES
-- GOOD AND BAD ECONOMIC NEWS:
THE BAD ECONOMIC NEWS IN SEYCHELLES IS THAT TOURISM, THE
MAIN ECONOMIC SECTOR, IS DOWN 11 PERCENT FROM LAST YEAR.
THE GOOD NEWS IS THAT THE MINISTRY OF FINANCE ANNOUNCED
THAT IT WILL IMPLEMENT AN INVESTMENT CODE BY THE END OF
THE YEAR, WHICH SHOULD ENCOURAGE FOREIGN AND DOMESTIC
INVESTMENT. A CODE WAS READY THREE YEARS AGO BUT WAS
STOPPED BY PRESIDENT RENE WHO WANTED TO HANDLE FOREIGN
INVESTMENTS ON A "NEGOTIATED CASE BY CASE"
BASIS--REPORTEDLY WITH KICKBACKS. ANOTHER BRIGHT SPOT IS
THE 40 PERCENT PRIVATIZATION OF PORT VICTORIA, WHICH
SHOULD LOWER ITS COSTS AND MAKE IT MORE COMPETITIVE.
SOMALIA
-- UN MILITARY PLANNERS ASK FOR HELP WITH DRAWDOWN:
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
UN MILAD BARIL BRIEFED SELECTED COUNTRIES (INCLUDING THE
U.S.) JULY 29 ON THE NEED FOR ADDITIONAL MILITARY AIRCRAFUNCLASSIFIED
AND SHIPS TO ASSIST IN THE ORDERLY WITHDRAWAL OF UN
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STATE 214360 110811Z
FORCES. UNOSOM'S MANDATE IS SCHEDULED TO END IN MARCH
1995, AND TROOP WITHDRAWAL IS EXPECTED TO TAKE SEVERAL
MONTHS. BARIL MADE AN INFORMAL REQUEST FOR CONTRIBUTIONS
OF C-5 AIRCRAFT, ROLL-ON/ROLL-OFF SHIPS, AND A SMALL
AMPHIBIOUS FORCE WITH HELICOPTER SUPPORT TO PROVIDE COVER
FIRE AT A LATE STAGE OF THE WITHDRAWAL. THERE IS AN
OBVIOUS EXPECTATION OF'A U.S. ROLE. HOWEVER, THE BYRD
AMENDMENT, WHICH RESTRICTS DEPLOYMENT OF U.S. TROOPS IN
SOMALIA, MAY SEVERELY CURTAIL OUR ABILITY TO HELP.
-- FIRST BYRD, NOW KEMPTHORNE:
SENATOR DIRK KEMPTHORNE (R-IDAHO) PLANS TO INTRODUCE AN
AMENDMENT TO THE FY 1995 DEFENSE APPROPRIATIONS BILL THAT
WOULD EFFECTIVELY FORCE WITHDRAWAL OF THE FAST MARINES WHO
NOW PROTECT USLO. KEMPTHORNE HAS BEEN THE MOST VOCAL
CONGRESSIONAL CRITIC OF A CONTINUED USG PRESENCE IN
SOMALIA. HE INSTIGATED THE JULY 21 SENATE ARMED SERVICES
COMMITTEE HEARING ON SOMALIA AND A FOLLOW-UP LETTER TO
PRESIDENT CLINTON IN WHICH EIGHT SENATORS CALLED FOR
WITHDRAWAL OF ALL USG MILITARY AND DIPLOMATIC PERSONNEL
FROM SOMALIA.
AIDEED ON A ROLL?:
THE SNA FACTION LEADER IS ALREADY PUTTING TO USE THE
MILITARY EQUIPMENT AND VEHICLES -- INCLUDING ARMORED
PERSONNEL CARRIERS -- CAPTURED FROM THE ZIMBABWEANS WHEN
THEY WERE ROUTED IN BELET WEYN JULY 30. AIDEED'S
MILITIAMEN HAVE BEGUN ADVANCING ALONG THE ROUTE FROM BELET
WEYN TO MOGADISHU AND MAY BE PLANNING TO ATTACK OTHER UN
SOFT TARGETS. RIVAL FACTION ALI MARDI IS DEMANDING THAT
UNOSOM RETURN WEAPONS CONFISCATED FROM HIS MILITIAMEN LAST
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STATE
214360 110811Z
YEAR, NOTING THAT THE UN WAS UNABLE TO PROTECT WEAPONS
STOCKS IN BELET WEYN FROM AIDEED'S FORCES.
ETHIOPIA
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
-- HE'S COMING:
PRESIDENT MELES ZENAWI HAS ACCEPTED AN INVITATION TO MAKE
A WORKING VISIT TO WASHINGTON TO MEET WITH PRESIDENT
CLINTON ON THURSDAY, AUGUST 11. HE IS EXPECTED TO SPEND
UP TO A WEEK IN THE WASHINGTON AREA. AMBASSADOR IRVIN
HICKS WILL RETURN FOR THE VISIT.
UGANDA
- - KAMPALA A BUSY STOP FOR HIGH LEVEL VISITORS:
RWANDAN RELIEF OPERATIONS HAVE GENERATED A STEADY STREAM
OF HIGH LEVEL VISITORS TO KAMPALA. DEFENSE SECRETARY
PERRY, CINCEUR JOULWAN, AND ASSISTANT SECRETARY MOOSE WERE
IN KAMPALA EARLIER THIS WEEK. DRL (PREVIOUSLY HA)
ASSISTANT SECRETARY SHATTUCK, JCS CHAIRMAN SHALIKASHVILI,
AND MRS. GORE WILL BE IN KIGALI OVER THE WEEKEND, AND ARMY
CHIEF OF STAFF SULLIVAN IS DUE IN LATER NEXT WEEK.
6. (U) AF/EPS
-- DAS LARSON MEETS WITH AFDB ED ALICE DEAR:
ON AUGUST 3, DAS LARSON MET WITH THE U.S. EXECUTIVE
DIRECTOR TO THE AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT BANK ALICE DEAR, WHO
PROVIDED AN UPDATE ON THE LATEST DEVELOPMENTS IN THE
AFDB. NEW CREDITWORTHINESS GUIDELINES WILL BE PRESENTED
TO THE EXECUTIVE DIRECTORS (EDS) IN AUGUST. THE AFDF
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STATE 214360 110811Z
REPLENISHMENT NEGOTIATIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE CONCLUDED IN
SEPTEMBER. DEAR SAID THAT THE SO-CALLED "GANG OF FOUR"
REGIONAL EDS--LIBYA, ALGERIA, NIGERIA AND EGYPT--WERE THE
TROUBLEMAKERS IN THE BANK. SHE NOTED THE INITIATIVE TO
PUSH REFORM IN THE BANK AT THE OAU MEETING IN JUNE FELL
SHORT PARTLY BECAUSE OF THE LOBBYING OF REGIONAL EDS BUT
ALSO BECAUSE OF TEPID SUPPORT FROM THE AFDB PRESIDENT.
-- FEES FOR COMMERCIAL SERVICE:
A CABLE WILL SOON BE GOING OUT TO AF POSTS SOLICITING
COMMENTS REGARDING PLANS TO INSTITUTE A "FEES FOR
COMMERCIAL SERVICE" PROGRAM. THE FOREIGN RELATIONS
AUTHORIZATION ACT FOR FY 94 AND FY 95 AUTHORIZES THE
SECRETARY OF STATE TO CHARGE A FEE TO COVER THE ACTUAL OR
ESTIMATED COST OF PROVIDING ANY PERSON, FIRM OR
ORGANIZATION (OTHER THAN AGENCIES OF THE UNITED STATES
GOVERNMENT) WITH COMMERCIAL SERVICES AT POSTS ABROAD ON
UNCLASSIFIED
MATTERS WITHIN THE AUTHORITY OF THE DEPARTMENT OF STATE.
THIS APPLIES TO POSTS WHERE THE DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE
DOES NOT PERFORM COMMERCIAL SERVICES.
-- THE BRETTON WOODS COMMISSION (BWC) CONFERENCE:
AS PART OF THE JULY 20-22 BWC CONFERENCE AT THE
DEPARTMENT, PANELS OF PROMINENT FIGURES IN INTERNATIONAL
PUBLIC FINANCE DISCUSSED NUMEROUS ISSUES FACING THE
INTERNATIONAL FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS (IFIS). THE PANEL
ADDRESSING HOW BEST TO IMPLEMENT THE NEW EMPHASIS ON THE
PRIVATE SECTOR LEFT UNANSWERED THE QUESTION OF HOW TO
PROMOTE PRIVATE SECTOR DEVELOPMENT IN AFRICAN COUNTRIES.
THE PANEL ON GLOBAL ISSUES AGREED THAT GOVERNANCE,
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STATE 214360 110811Z
ENVIRONMENT, AND HUMAN RIGHTS MUST BE KEPT IN THE CONTEXT
OF SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT AND ACCOUNTABILITY, AND NOT
DRAW THE IFI'S INTO POLITICS. SOME NOTED THAT THE NEW
DEVELOPMENT PARADIGM OF SUSTAINABILITY, HOWEVER, MAY WELL
SEE THE WORLD BANK BECOME AN ECONOMIC TRUSTEE FOR SOME
AFRICAN STATES.
ANOTHER PANEL DISCUSSION AGREED MACROECONOMIC POLICY
REFORMS DO BRING GROWTH, BUT DO NOT ENSURE POVERTY
ALLEVIATION AND SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT. INSTITUTIONALLY
WEAK POLICY ENVIRONMENTS REQUIRE REVISING THE USUAL
PRESCRIPTIONS AND USING UNORTHODOX MEASURES. AT THE PANEL
DISCUSSION ON "MAKING AID WORK," SOME SAID THE BANK MUST
LOOK AT SOCIAL EFFECTS OF LENDING, NOT JUST THE RATE OF
RETURN. IN MOVING TOWARDS SOCIAL SPENDING OTHERS NOTED,
THE WORLD BANK MUST FIND NEW WAYS OF SUPPORTING CAPITAL
INTENSIVE INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECTS--SUCH AS DEVELOPING BOND
MARKETS TO SUPPORT PUBLIC UTILITY INVESTMENT.
7.
(U) AF/EX
-- NEW EX DEPUTY DIRECTOR COMES ON BOARD:
WE WELCOME BACK TO THE AF FAMILY OLD-TIMER NANCY MORGAN
SERPA. NANCY ASSUMED HER DUTIES AS THE NEW DEPUTY
DIRECTOR ON
AUGUST 1, REPLACING JACK BRYANT WHO RETIRED IN MAY.
-- FRAN GIDEZ TEMPORARILY DETAILED TO M:
FRAN GIDEZ, ADMINISTRATIVE OFFICER AND BUREAU PROGRAM
PLANNER FOR AF HAS TAKEN A DETAIL UNTIL MID-OCTOBER WITH
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
AMBASSADOR JANE BECKER, THE OFFICE DIRECTOR OF M/PO -CONFIDENTIAL
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STATE 214360 110811Z
UNDER SECRETARY FOR MANAGEMENT'S PLANNING OFFICE.
B.
(U) AF/RA
AF/RA POL/MIL OFFICER TONY MARLEY CONTINUES HIS TDY IN
KIGALI AS PART OF THE SKELETON EMBASSY STAFF. IN ADDITION
TO OTHER DUTIES, HE HAS MADE SEVERAL SURVEY TRIPS OUTSIDE
THE CITY TO REPORT ON ROAD AND REFUGEE CONDITIONS.
9.
(C) AF/S
SADC/FLS
SADC SUMMIT TO REVIEW FLS:
DISBANDING. THEY HAVE RECOMMENDED BECOMING THE
ASSSOCIATION OF SOUTHERN AFRICAN STATES (ASAS). IF
APPROVED BY THE HEADS OF STATE ATTENDING THE SOUTHERN
AFRICAN DEVELOPMENT COMMUNITY (SADC) SUMMIT IN GABORONE,
THE ASAS WILL REMAIN AN INFORMAL GROUPING WHICH WOULD BE A
SORT OF POLITICAL WING OF THE SADC. HOWEVER, THERE WOULD
BE NO FORMAL TIE TO THE SADC AND NO SECRETARIAT. THIS
PROPOSAL REPRESENTS A VICTORY FOR THE LARGER COUNTRIES,
PARTICULARLY SOUTH AFRICA AND ZIMBABWE.
ANGOLA
-- THE RELUCTANT TRAVELLER:
SAVIMBI IS PLAYING COY ABOUT WHETHER HE PLANS TO ACCEPT OR
REJECT PRESIDENT MANDELA'S INVITATION TO TRAVEL TO
PRETORIA TO SORT OUT OUTSTANDING ISSUES IN THE ANGOLAN
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STATE 214360 110811Z
PEACE PROCESS. ON AUGUST 2 THE UNITA REPRESENTATIVE IN
WASHINGTON TOLD THE SOUTH AFRICANS THAT UNITA WANTED TO
SEND A SECOND ADVANCE TEAM TO PRETORIA--A PROPOSAL THE
SOUTH AFRICANS TURNED DOWN FLAT. UNITA WASHINGTON
COMPLAINED THAT THE SAG WAS BEING INFLEXIBLE AND THAT
WITHOUT SETTING THE PROPER CONTEXT THE MANDELA-SAVIMBI
UNCLASSIFIED
MEETING WOULD PRODUCE NOTHING. THE SAG HAS INFORMED UNITA
THAT IF SAVIMBI IS SERIOUS ABOUT ACCEPTING MANDELA'S
INVITATION, HE MUST DO SO BY MID-AUGUST TO ACCOMMODATE
MANDELA'S SCHEDULE. WE ARE PRESSURING UNITA TO GET OFF
THE DIME OR FACE CERTAIN SANCTIONS AT THE UNSC MEETING AT
THE END OF THE MONTH.
MALAWI
AFORD VP QUITS; JOINS UDF:
THE REVEREND PETER KALESO HAS ANNOUNCED HIS RESIGNATION AS
A VICE PRESIDENT OF THE OPPOSITION PARTY ALLIANCE FOR
DEMOCRACY AND HAS JOINED THE RULING UNITED DEMOCRATIC
FRONT. AN EARLY BACKER OF AFORD LEADER CHAKUFWA CHIHANA,
KALESO WAS DISENCHANTED WITH AFORD'S ALLIANCE WITH THE
MCP. SINCE KALESO DOES NOT HAVE A SEAT IN PARLIAMENT, HIS
DEFECTION WILL HAVE NO IMPACT ON VOTING STRENGTHS.
HOWEVER, IT MIGHT ENCOURAGE OTHER DISAFFECTED AFORD
MEMBERS TO JUMP SHIP OR CROSS THE FLOOR WHEN VOTING IN
PARLIAMENT.
MOZAMBIQUE
-- DEMOBILIZATION ENTERING CRITICAL STRETCH:
WITH TWO WEEKS REMAINING TO THE AUGUST 15 DEMOBILIZATION
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STATE 214360 110811Z
DEADLINE APPROXIMATELY 36,000 GRM AND RENAMO SOLDIERS
REMAIN TO BE PROCESSED. CONFRONTED BY INCREASINGLY
FREQUENT OUTBREAKS OF VIOLENCE IN THE ASSEMBLY AND
NON-ASSEMBLY AREAS, HOWEVER, BOTH SIDES ARE FINALLY
ADMITTING THAT NEITHER CAN PROVIDE 15,000 MEN FOR THE NEW
ARMY. THIS HAS TRANSLATED INTO GREATER WILLINGNESS TO GET
ON WITH DEMOBILIZATION. ONUMOZ IS GEARING UP FOR A MAJOR
ACCELERATION AND COULD, IF ALL GOES REASONABLY WELL,
COMPLETE THE PROCESS BY LATE AUGUST. MEANWHILE THE
TRANSFER OF BASES AND EQUIPMENT FROM THE MOZAMBICAN ARMED
FORCES (FAM) TO THE NEW ARMY (FADM) IS MOVING AHEAD AND
SHOULD BE COMPLETED BY AUGUST 15. AS EMBASSY MAPUTO HAS
POINTED OUT, THE FADM WON'T INHERIT MUCH BUT THE ABOLITION
OF THE FAM WILL BE A SIGNIFICANT STEP FORWARD.
NAMIBIA
-- LAND REFORM DEBATE WILL BEGIN SOON:
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
LONG-AWAITED LEGISLATION ON LAND REFORM IN NAMIBIA WILL BE
DEBATED SOON IN PARLIAMENT. TWO BILLS WILL BE PRESENTED:
ONE RELATING TO PRIMARILY WHITE-OWNED COMMERCIAL LAND, THE
OTHER RELATING TO INDIGENOUSLY-OWNED COMMUNAL LAND. THE
REFORM BILLS ARE REPORTEDLY PATTERNED ON CONSENSUS
RECOMMENDATIONS OF A 1991 CONFERENCE WHICH RECOMMENDED
THAT NONPRODUCTIVE LAND, PARTICULARLY THAT BELONGING TO
ABSENTEE OWNERS SHOULD BE REALLOCATED. THE CONFERENCE
HOWEVER, ALSO CALLED FOR COMPENSATION. THE LAND REFORM
DEBATE IS LIKELY TO INCREASE IN INTENSITY AS THE DECEMBER
GENERAL ELECTIONS APPROACH.
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SOUTH AFRICA
STATE 214360 110811Z
-- LABOR FLEXES ITS MUSCLE:
A WAVE OF WAGE DISPUTES MAY BE THE FIRST MAJOR TEST FOR
THE NEW SOUTH AFRICAN GOVERNMENT. STRIKES HAVE BEEN
WIDESPREAD IN RECENT WEEKS. A RECENTLY RESOLVED 15-DAY
OLD STRIKE AGAINST THE SUPERMARKET CHAIN PICK 'N PAY LED
TO VIOLENCE AND HUNDREDS OF ARRESTS. ON AUGUST 1, 25,000
AUTO WORKERS WENT OUT ON STRIKE, AND OTHER UNIONS,
INCLUDING THE MINEWORKERS, HAVE THREATENED STAYAWAY
ACTION. LABOR UNION LEADERS SAY THAT RAISED
EXPECTATIONS--FROM BOTH THE ELECTIONS AND THE POSTIVE
ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOLLOWING THE ELECTION--ARE BEHIND THE
CALL FOR WAGE INCREASES (ALREADY AVERAGING 10.4 PERCENT
IN 1994).
PARLIAMENT INITIATED DEBATE ON THE GOVERNMENT OF NATIONAL
UNITY'S FIRST BUDGET. IN A SURPRISINGLY CONTENTIOUS
SESSION, ANC BACKBENCHERS CRITICIZED THE LARGE ALLOCATION
GIVEN THE SECURITY SERVICES AND CALLED FOR MORE MONEY FOR
THE RDP. THE NATIONAL PARTY LAMBASTED GOVERMENT PROPOSALS
TO ALLOW HIGHER SALARIES FOR POLITICAL APPOINTEES.
ZAMBIA
,- JULY ECONOMIC REPORT:
INFLATION FELL IN JULY TO 1.1 PERCENT FOR AN ANNUALIZED
RATE OF 14 PERCENT. YEAR-TO-DATE INFLATION DECREASED
SLIGHTLY TO 34.7 PERCENT. INTEREST RATES CONTINUED TO
DECREASE WITH BANK RATES BETWEEN 55 AND 80 PERCENT (AS
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STATE 214360 110811Z
OPPOSED TO 90 PERCENT IN APRIL) WHILE TREASURY BILLS WERE
DOWN TO 63 PERCENT. MEANWHILE, THE BANK OF ZAMBIA
ANNOUNCED IT WOULD STOP FORCIBLY BUYING FOREIGN EXCHANGE
EARNINGS OF EXPORTERS SUCH AS ZCCM, THE COPPER
PARASTATAL. THIS SHOULD LEAVE THE FUNCTION OF
DISTRIBUTING EXPORTERS' EARNINGS OF FOREX ENTIRELY TO THE
MARKET.
ZIMBABWE
MNANGAGWA PRESENTS BUDGET, LEAVING MANY QUESTIONS:
ACTING SENIOR MINISTER OF FINANCE EMERSON MNANGAGWA
PRESENTED THE BUDGET FOR THE CURRENT FISCAL YEAR ON JULY
28. HE REQUESTED THAT MP'S NOT QUESTION HIM, AND THEY DID
NOT. HOWEVER, WITH STRIKES INCREASING IN FREQUENCY, A
GENERAL ELECTION LOOMING, 1993-94 BUDGET TARGETS
ABANDONED, NO MINISTER OF INDUSTRY AND COMMERCE FOR SIX
MONTHS, AND SENIOR MINISTER OF FINANCE BERNARD CHIDZERO
REPORTEDLY NEAR DEATH, ONE CANNOT HELP BUT WONDER WHETHER
THE DOCUMENT IS REALISTIC.
- - STAYING IN SOMALIA FOR NOW; NOT HURRYING TO RWANDA:
DESPITE THE DEATH OF ONE SOLDIER AND THE LOSS OF ALL
EQUIPMENT AT BELET WEYNE, SOMALIA, THE ZIMBABWEANS HAVE
SAID THEY WILL CONTINUE TO PARTICIPATE IN UNOSOM II
THROUGH OCTOBER. THEY APPEAR LESS ANXIOUS ABOUT EXPANDING
THEIR UNAMIR CONTINGENT IN RWANDA, AND, AS THEY DID WITH
THE PROPOSED DEPLOYMENT TO LIBERIA, THE GOZ IS INSISTING
THAT THE UN OR ANOTHER DONOR PROVIDE TRANSPORT, EQUIPMENT
AND SUPPLIES BEFORE THEY WILL DEPLOY.
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STATE
214360 110811Z
-- MUGABE REASSURES WHITES AND MULTINATIONALS:
AS THE GENERAL ELECTION DRAWS NEARER, MUGABE HELD A TOWN
MEETING DURING WHICH HE REFERRED TO WHITES AS INDIGENOUS
FOR THE FIRST TIME. HE DECLARED THAT PRODUCTIVITY WOULD
BE A CRITERIA FOR FUTURE RESETTLEMENT AND SAID
MULTINATIONALS USING LAND PRODUCTIVELY NEED NOT FEAR
DESIGNATION.
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
10. (C) AF/W
BENIN
SOGLO "STRONGARMS" THE LEGISLATURE:
THE NATIONAL ASSEMBLY VOTED JULY 26 TO INCREASE SALARIES
AND SCHOLARSHIPS OVER AND ABOVE GOVERNMENT PROPOSALS IN
ITS FY94 BUDGET. THREE DAYS LATER THE IMF WARNED THAT THE
ACTION JEOPARDIZED BENIN'S STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT PROGRAM
AND DEBT RESCHEDULING. ON AUGUST 1, PRESIDENT SOGOLO USED
EMERGENCY CONSTITUTIONAL POWERS TO MAKE LAW THE
GOVERNMENT'S BUDGET. IT COULD PROVE EMBARRASSING TO SOGLO
IF THE CONSTITUTIONAL COURT RULES AGAINST HIM,
PARTICULARLY SINCE IT RECENTLY REJECTED HIS ATTEMPTS TO
REPLACE THE CHIEF JUSTICE OF THE SUPREME COURT.
-- EMBASSY COTONOU IS POSITIVE ABOUT THE GOB PROPOSING
THEIR CHIEF OF PROTOCOL AS THE NEXT AMBASSADOR TO THE U.S.
BURKINA FASO
-- AGREEMENT TO MOVE REFUGEE CAMPS SIGNED:
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STATE 214360 110811Z
ON JULY 26, THE UNHCR, GOBF AND GRM (MALI) SIGNED AN
AGREEMENT ON TUAREG REFUGEES IN BURKINA FASO INCLUDING
VOLUNTARY REPATRIATION, AND THE MODALITIES OF MOVING
REFUGEE CAMPS AWAY FROM THE BORDERS WITH MALI AND NIGER.
THE GOBF HOPES THIS WILL REDUCE INCIDENCE OF BANDITRY IN
THE NORTH, AND PREVENT THEIR TERRITORY FROM BECOMING A
BASE OF OPERATION FOR BANDIT/REBEL GROUPS. THE UNHCR HAS
BEGUN CONSTRUCTION OF THE NEW SITE, BUT NEEDS ADDITIONAL
DONOR FUNDING TO COMPLETE THE PROJECT.
-- SIX MONTHS AFTER DEVALUATION - EXPORTS UP/IMPORTS
DOWN:
A SURVEY OF THE EFFECTS OF DEVALUATION SIX MONTHS ON
REVEALED THAT INFLATION IS HOVERING AROUND 35 PERCENT,
ALTHOUGH SOME COMMODITY PRICES HAVE RISEN BY UP TO 75
PERCENT. LIVESTOCK EXPORTS INCREASED BY 65-70 PERCENT AND
LOCALLY PRODUCED RICE IS SELLING AT PRICES WELL BELOW
IMPORTS. SOME CONSUMER GOODS PRODUCERS, SUCH AS SOAP
MANUFACTURERS, CANNOT MEET INCREASED LOCAL DEMAND DUE TO
INEFFICIENT PRODUCTION PRACTICES.
UNCLASSIFIED
-- MEDICAL TEAM FOR RWANDA:
THE GOBF ANNOUNCED THAT A TEN MEMBER CIVILIAN MEDICAL TEAM
WILL JOIN THE EFFORT IN RWANDA. ORGANIZATION AND
COORDINATION OF THE TEAM IS THROUGH AN NGO, SOS HUMANITY.
COTE D'IVOIRE
-- A U.S. COMMERCIAL SUCCESS -- WHAT A GAS' AN AMERICAN
FIRM, UMIC, SIGNED A CONTRACT WITH GOCI IN PARIS 7/20
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STATE 214360 110811Z
WHICH SIGNIFIES IT OUTCOMPETED A FRENCH FIRM FOR
DEVELOPING GAS FIELDS AND BUILDING PIPELINES. THE FRENCH
FIRM, BOUYGUES, SIGNED A SEPARATE CONTRACT TO BUILD A FIVE
TURBINE POWER GENERATING PLANT.
-- A FIRST - IVORIAN PEACEKEEPERS:
DESPITE INITIAL OPPOSITION BY THE CHIEF OF STAFF, THE
PRESIDENT APPROVED THE DEPLOYMENT OF IVORIAN MILITARY TO
RWANDA . A MEDICAL TEAM WILL DEPLOY WITHIN 30 DAYS. SUCH
A DEPLOYMENT OUTSIDE THE COUNTRY REPRESENTS A MAJOR POLICY
CHANGE FROM THAT OF THE LATE PRESIDENT HOUPHOUET.
THE GAMBIA
-- MILITARY LEADERS CONSOLIDATE POWER:
THE ARMED FORCES PROVISIONAL RULING COUNCIL IS SETTING
DOWN ROOTS AND CONSOLIDATING ITS HOLD ON POWER. ON THE
POLITICAL SIDE, SEVERAL MINISTERS OF THE JAWARA GOVERNMENT
HAVE BEEN RELEASED FROM DETENTION BUT HAVE BEEN INSTRUCTED
TO REMAIN AT HOME. HEADS OF PARASTATALS, SUCH AS THE PORT
AUTHORITY AND THE INVESTMENT BOARD, HAVE BEEN ROUNDED UP
AND ARE CURRENTLY BEING HELD ON SUSPICION OF HAVING
ENGAGED IN CORRUPTION. APPROXIMATELY 21 MILITARY AND
POLICE OFFICERS FROM THE SMALL CORPS OF GAMBIAN OFFICERS
WHO OUTRANK THE AFPRC LIEUTENANTS IN THE MILITARY COMMAND
STRUCTURE HAVE BEEN ARRESTED FOR ALLEGED COUNTER-COUP
ACTIVITIES.
-- ON WHAT MIGHT BE TERMED THE "SOCIAL" SIDE OF THE
MILITARY'S ANTI-CORRUPTION CAMPAIGN, THE SECURITY FORCES
HAVE ROUNDED UP SUSPECTED PROSTITUTES AND SHAVED THE HEADS
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STATE 214360 110811Z
OF MEN SPORTING "RASTAS". THE PRESS CONTINUES TO OPERATE
WITH A FREE HAND, HOWEVER, AND THE WELL-REGARDED DAILY
OBSERVER IS BECOMING MORE CRITICAL OF THE COUNCIL BY THE
DAY.
-- NO TIMELINE FOR RESTORATION OF DEMOCRACY:
AFPRC HEAD JAMMEH IS MAKING FEWER REFERENCES TO A QUICK
RESTORATION OF CONSTITUTIONAL INSTITUTIONS AND ELECTIONS.
IN A RECENT INTERVIEW, JAMMEH APPEARED TO CLAIM THAT THE
MILITARY GOVERNMENT WAS ITSELF DEMOCRATIC BY VIRTUE OF THE
MILITARY HAVING NAMED A NUMBER OF CIVILIANS TO CABINET
POSITIONS.
GUINEA
-- IMF ASSESSES GUINEA'S QUALIFICATIONS FOR ESAF:
IMF TEAM LEADER MICHAEL HADJIMICHAEL GAVE A GUARDED BUT
OPTIMISTIC ASSESSMENT THAT GOG'S COMPLIANCE WITH THE 30
MEASURES UNDER THE CURRENT AGREEMENT WOULD QUALIFY IT FOR
AN ENHANCED STRUCTURAL ADJUSTMENT FACILITY (ESAF).
HADJIMICHAEL CITED GOG'S INCREASED TAX, CUSTOMS, AND
PETROLEUM RECEIPTS, LOWERED INFLATION, AND REDUCED CIVIL
SERVICE ROLLS. ON THE MINUS SIDE, WERE SLOW PROGRESS IN
THE PRIVATIZATION OF THE NATIONAL AIRLINE AND A BUS
COMPANY AS WELL AS DECLINING REVENUES FROM THE MINING
SECTOR.
-, CHOLERA EPIDEMIC IN GUINEA:
THE GOG'S SECRETARY GENERAL OF THE MINISTRY OF FOREIGN
AFFAIRS CALLED A DONORS' MEETING ON AUGUST 1 TO REQUEST
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STATE
214360 110811Z
ASSISTANCE IN CONTAINING THE "NATIONAL CATASTROPHE" WHICH
HAS AFFECTED AN ESTIMATED 9,000 PEOPLE IN CONAKRY ALONE
SINCE THE END OF JUNE. OTHER AFFECTED COUNTRIES INCLUDE
LIBERIA AND COTE D'IVOIRE. UNICEF, WHO, MEDECIN SANS
FRONTIERS, UNDP, THE GERMANS, FRENCH, AND EU HAVE
RESPONDED WITH FINANCIAL AND MEDICAL ASSISTANCE. AID IS
REQUESTING DOLS 25,000 FROM OFDA TO PURCHASE AND TRANSPORT
EMERGENCY LAB EQUIPMENT TO GUINEA.
GUINEA BISSAU
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
-- PRESIDENTIAL RUN-OFF ELECTIONS A TOSS-UP:
BISSAUANS GO TO THE POLLS SUNDAY AUGUST 7, IN A RUN-OFF
ELECTION FOR PRESIDENT. BOTH CANDIDATES, PRESIDENT VIEIRA
AND HIS OPPONENT, DR. KOUMBA YALA BOTH PREDICT VICTORY.
VIEIRA'S PAIGC PARTY EXPECTS HIM TO WIN 55-60 PERCENT OF
THE VOTES, PICKING UP ABOUT 10-15 PERCENT OVER HIS 46
PERCENT OF THE FIRST ROUND VOTED IN JULY. YALA, WHO HAS
NO PARTY AFFILIATION, CLAIMS HE WILL GAIN THE SUPPORT OF
ELIMINATED OPPOSITION CANDIDATES TO MOVE FROM HIS 22
PERCENT IN THE FIRST ROUND TO OVER 50 PERCENT. THE
EMBASSY CONSIDERS THE OUTCOME TOO CLOSE TO CALL. THE
WINNER WILL PROBABLY BE SWORN IN SEPTEMBER 12. A
MULTI-PARTY LEGISLATURE ELECTED IN JULY WILL PROBABLY BE
SWORN IN AUGUST 15.
LIBERIA
ECOWAS HEADS OF STATE REVIEW LIBERIA SITUATION:
THE ECOWAS COMMITTEE OF NINE ON LIBERIA MET AUGUST 5 IN
ABUJA, NIGERIA, TO CONSIDER NEXT STEPS IN LIBERIA.
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STATE 214360 110811Z
PARTICIPANTS INCLUDED KEY REGIONAL HEADS OF STATE,
INCLUDING ECOWAS CHAIRMAN, PRESIDENT SOGLO OF BENIN. AND
PRESIDENT ABACHA OF NIGERIA. THE COMMUNIQUE IS LIKELY TO
ASK DONORS TO COMMIT RESOURCES FOR RECONSTRUCTION OF
LIBERIA TO FACILITATE DISARMAMENT. SOME PARTICIPANTS
EXPRESSED CONCERN THAT LIBERIA COULD BECOME ANOTHER RWANDA
AND SOME HINTED THAT THE U.S., NAMED SEVERAL TIMES DURING
THE MEETING, COULD SOLD LIBERIA IF IT WANTED TO.
MALI
-- TUAREG ATTACKS HEAT UP... :
TUAREG AND MAUR ATTACKS IN BAMBA AND N'DEBOUGOU LAST WEEK
APPEAR TO HAVE TARGETED CIVILIANS. BANDITS STOLE SEVEN
VEHICLES AT N'DEBOUGOU, BUT NOBODY WAS KILLED. IN BAMBA
AT LEAST 35 WERE KILLED IN THE ATTACK WHICH "WIPED (THE
VILLAGE) FROM THE MAP." THE ATTACK WAS ATTRIBUTED TO THE
FIAA, AN ISLAMIC GROUP OF MAUR REBELS.
-- AND DEMONSTRATORS GET OUT OF HAND:
ON JULY 30, THE GOVERNOR DENIED DEMONSTRATORS IN BAMAKO,
WHO WERE PROTESTING THE KILLINGS IN THE NORTH, PERMISSION
TO MARCH. AFTER PRESENTING THEIR "DEMANDS" TO THE
UNCLASSIFIED
GOVERNOR SMALL GROUPS BEGAN ATTACKING MAUR, TUAREG AND
LIGHT SKINNED INDIVIDUALS. NO FATALITIES WERE REPORTED,
BUT A BEATEN MAURITANIAN TEMPORARILY SOUGHT SANCTUARY IN
THE EMBASSY.
NIGER
-- PRESIDENT HITS THE ROAD:
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STATE 214360 110811Z
PRESIDENT OUSMANE TRAVELED TO THE DEPARTMENT OF TILABERI,
ONLY HIS SECOND LONG TRIP OUTSIDE OF THE CAPITAL SINCE HE
WAS INAUGURATED. WELCOMING CROWDS RECEIVED HIM
EVERYWHERE. HIS SPEECHES DEALT WITH THE NEED TO MAINTAIN
GOOD RELATIONS WITH THE IMF AND WORLD BANK, DESPITE UNION
DEMANDS, TO KEEP DEVELOPMENT AID MONEY FLOWING.
-- PEACEKEEPERS TO RWANDA:
NIGER'S 43-MAN CONTINGENT FOR RWANDA HUMANITARIAN RELIEF
LEFT ON JULY 25 TO JOIN "OPERATION TURQUOISE."
-- STUDENTS RIOT OVER STIPENDS:
UNIVERSITY STUDENTS RIOTED ON JULY 20 AND 21, BURNING
TIRES AND DAMAGING PASSING VEHICLES, INCLUDING ONE
BELONGING TO AN EMBASSY OFFICER. THEY WERE DEMANDING
PAYMENT OF OVERDUE LIVING STIPENDS, WHICH THE GOVERNMENT
BEGAN PAYING, IN PART, ON JULY 25.
NIGERIA
-- GENERAL STRIKE CALLED OFF AFTER TWO DAYS:
THE NIGERIAN LABOUR CONGRESS' GENERAL STRIKE ENDED AFTER
ONLY TWO DAYS WHEN IT WAS CALLED OFF SO THAT IT COULD
FACILITATE ONGOING NEGOTIATIONS WITH THE GOVERNMENT. THE
CONGRESS DEMANDS THE RELEASE OF MKO ABIOLA, THE APPARENT
WINNER OF LAST YEARS' ANNULLED PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS.
SUSPENSION OF THE STRIKE HAS HAD LITTLE EFFECT IN LAGOS
AND SOUTHWEST NIGERIA WHERE THE OIL WORKERS HAVE CONTINUED
THEIR STRIKE.
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STATE 214360 110811Z
ABIOLA TRIAL ADJOURNED:
CHIEF MKO ABIOLA'S TRIAL WAS ADJOURNED UNTIL AUGUST 16 ON
MOTION OF THE DEFENSE WHICH WOULD LIKE TO CHANGE THE VENUE
TO LAGOS. ABIOLA REMAINS IN PRISON IN ABUJA.
SENEGAL
-- FRENCH PRIME MINISTER BALLADUR VISITS SENEGAL:
FRENCH PRIME MINISTER EDOUARD BALLADUR ARRIVED IN SENEGAL
ON JULY 27 AND 28 AS PART OF AN AFRICAN TOUR WHICH ALSO
INCLUDED COTE D'IVOIRE, AND GABON. DURING HIS VISIT
THREE CONVENTIONS WERE SIGNED WHICH PROVIDED FOR GRANTS
TOTALLING 4.6 MILLION DOLLARS FOR ENTERPRISE
COMPETITIVENESS, RESTRUCTURING OF INDUSTRIAL FISHING AND
AIDS CONTROL. ALTHOUGH MUCH FANFARE ACCOMPANIED
BALLADUR'S VISIT, IT WAS GENERALLY VIEWED AS A
REAFFIRMATION OF CLOSE POLITICAL TIES BETWEEN THE TWO
COUNTRIES AND OF LITTLE ECONOMIC OR COMMERCIAL
SIGNIFICANCE. MANY BELIEVE BALLADUR'S MOTIVES TO BE MORE
SELF-SERVING AND SEE THE VISIT AS A DE RIGUEUR
PRESIDENTIAL CAMPAIGN STOP.
"ANNEE INVALIDE":
IN ORDERING THE EARLY CLOSURE OF DAKAR AND ST. LOUIS
UNIVERSITIES AND THEN DECLARING THE YEAR INVALID BECAUSE
OF INSUFFICIENT CLASS HOURS, THE GOS EFFECTIVELY FLUNKED
THE SCHOOLS' ENTIRE STUDENT BODY AND PLACED AN ESTIMATED
2,000 TO 10,000 ACADEMIC PROBATIONERS IN DANGER OF
EXPULSION. THE GOS DECISION TO "CLEAN HOUSE" WAS TAKEN
FOLLOWING A PROFESSORS' STRIKE AT DAKAR UNIVERSITY AND THE
STUDENT/ADMINISTRATION IMPASSE OVER ANTICIPATED INCREASES
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STATE 214360 1108112
IN ROOM, BOARD, AND TUITION AS A RESULT OF THE
PRIVATIZATION OF STUDENT SERVICES. PROFESSORS AT ST.
LOUIS UNIVERSITY RETALIATED AGAINST THE STUDENTS WHO TOOK
THEM HOSTAGE IN JULY BY PROVIDING FOR ONE, RATHER THAN THE
CUSTOMARY TWO, OPPORTUNITIES TO TAKE THE FINALS.
-- SENEGALESE TROOPS TO REMAIN IN RWANDA:
PRESIDENT DIOUF ANNOUNCED HIS DECISION TO KEEP SENEGALESE
TROOPS IN RWANDA AS PART OF THE UN ASSISTANCE MISSION IN
RWANDA (UNAMIR) FOLLOWING THE DEPARTURE OF THE FRENCH
FORCES. THE MAJORITY OF SENEGALESE MILITARY OFFICERS HAD
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
FAVORED WITHDRAWAL, BUT APPARENTLY DID NOT ANTICIPATE THAT
FRENCH PRIME MINISTER BELLADUR WOULD WEIGH IN WITH THE
PROMISE OF UNSPECIFIED FRENCH ECONOMIC ASSISTANCE IN
RETURN FOR CONTINUED SENEGALESE TROOP PRESENCE.
-- SENEGAL AND ISRAEL TO RE-ESTABLISH RELATIONS:
SENEGAL AND ISRAEL PLAN TO ISSUE A JOINT COMMUNIQUE ON
AUGUST 4 DECLARING THEIR INTENTION TO RE-ESTABLISH
DIPLOMATIC RELATIONS. THIS COMES AS A SURPRISE TO THOSE
WHO KNOW THAT PRESIDENT DIOUF IS THE CURRENT PRESIDENT OF
THE ORGANIZATION OF ISLAMIC CONFERENCE (OIC) AND THEY HAD
EXPECTED HIM TO WAIT UNTIL HIS TERM EXPIRES IN 1995 BEFORE
TAKING THIS DECISION.
SIERRA LEONE
-- DISARMAMENT OF ULIMO FIGHTERS:
AT A MEETING WITH CHAIRMAN STRASSER IN EARLY JULY,
PARAMOUNT CHIEFS CALLED FOR THE DISARMING OF ULIMO (UNITED
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STATE 214360 110811Z
LIBERATION MOVEMENT FOR DEMOCRACY IN LIBERIA) FIGHTERS ON
SIERRA LEONEAN SOIL. IN RESPONSE, THE RSLMF HAS DISARMED
OVER 300 ULIMO COMBATANTS. ULIMO HAS HISTORICALLY ALLIED
ITSELF WITH THE REPUBLIC OF SIERRA LEONE MILITARY FORCES
AGAINST NPRC-INSPIRED REBELS. MORE RECENTLY, THOUGH,
ULIMO REPORTEDLY HAS CARRIED OUT A SERIES OF ATTACKS ON
CIVILIAN AND RSLMF TARGETS IN THE BO AND KENEMA DISTRICTS.
-- PARIS CLUB RESCHEDULING:
PARIS CLUB CREDITORS AGREED ON JULY 20 TO RESCHEDULE USD
48.5 MILLION IN PAYMENTS COMING DUE OVER THE NEXT 17
MONTHS. CREDITORS GRANTED SIERRA LEONE THE "ENHANCED
TORONTO TERMS", THE MOST CONCESSIONAL TERMS OFFERED TO THE
POOREST AND MOST HEAVILY-INDEBTED DEBTORS. AN
EXTRAORDINARY PAYMENTS FACILITY FOR SHORT-TERM OBLIGATIONS
NOT NORMALLY COVERED BY PARIS CLUB RESCHEDULINGS WAS SET
UP IN RECOGNITION OF THE COUNTRY'S EXCEPTIONAL FINANCING
NEEDS. CREDITORS AGREED TO CONSIDER THE REMAINING STOCK
OF DEBT AT THE END OF 1995 IF THE GOSL LIVES UP TO THE
CONDITIONS OF THIS RESCHEDULING. ACCORDING TO EB, FINANCE
MINISTER KARIMU GAVE AN IMPRESSIVE AND "REFRESHING"
PERFORMANCE AS THE HEAD OF THE GOSL DELEGATION.
TOGO
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
-- A NEW AMBASSADOR TO THE US:
EMBASSY LOME REPORTS THAT THIS TIME CONSTITUTIONAL
PROCEDURES HAVE BEEN FOLLOWED BY THE GOT TO REQUEST
AGREMENT FOR THEIR NEW AMBASSADOR TO THE U.S. THE
CANDIDATE IS THE BROTHER OF PRESIDENT EYADEMA'S SECOND
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WIFE.
STATE 214360 110811Z
-- MORE REGIONAL INVOLVEMENT:
EYADEMA RECEIVED AN NPFL DELEGATION JULY 28. THE FOREIGN
MINISTRY WAS NOT INVOLVED IN THE ARRANGEMENTS, BUT A
SOURCE AT THE FOREIGN OFFICE THOUGHT TAYLOR'S GROUP WAS
SIMPLY SHOPPING FOR HELP IN LOME.
11. (U) THIS WEEK IN CONGRESS
RWANDA
-- DEPARTMENT COUNSELOR WIRTH, A.I.D. DIRECTOR ATWOOD AND
DOD SECRETARY PERRY BRIEFED HOUSE AND SENATE LEADERSHIP ON
RWANDA ON AUGUST 2.
CONFLICT RESOLUTION LEGISLATION
A.I.D. AND CONGRESSMAN JOHNSTON ARE WORKING ON A
COMPROMISE. THE FULL COMMITTEE PLANS TO MARK UP THE
JOHNSTON PROPOSAL NEXT WEEK.
SFRC AF SUBCOMMITTEE CHAIRMAN SIMON PLANS TO ATTACH
THE JOHNSTON LEGISLATION TO THE DOD APPROPRIATIONS BILL.
THE SENATE PROBABLY WILL CONSIDER THE DOD BILL NEXT WEEK.
FOREIGN ASSISTANCE APPROPRIATIONS CONFERENCE REPORT
-- THE HOUSE PASSED THE FY 1995 FOREIGN ASSISTANCE
APPROPRIATIONS BILL CONFERENCE REPORT BY A 341-85 VOTE ON
AUGUST 4. THE SENATE PROBABLY WILL CONSIDER THE
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STATE 214360 110811Z
CONFERENCE REPORT TODAY OR EARLY NEXT WEEK.
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
SUDAN
-- AMBASSADOR PETTERSON UPDATED CHAIRMAN JOHNSTON AND
CONGRESSMEN WOLF AND RICHARDSON ON THE SUDAN PEACE TALKS
THIS WEEK
ANGOLA
AF/S WILL BRIEF CONGRESSIONAL STAFF ON THE ANGOLAN
PEACE PROCESS NEXT WEEK.
HFAC AF SUBCOMMITTEE HEARING ON POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT
-- AID AFR DEPUTY ASSISTANT ADMINISTRATOR PEASELY, STEVE
SINGIN (ROCKEFELLER FOUNDATION), DR. OLU KOYA (WOMEN'S
HEALTH ORGANIZATION, NIGERIA), NICK EBERSTADT (AMERICAN
ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE) AND PEGGY CARLIN (CENTER FOR
POPULATION AND DEVELOPMENT ACTIVITIES) TESTIFIED AT THE
AUGUST 4 HFAC AF SUBCOMMITTEE HEARING ON POPULATION AND
DEVELOPMENT. THE PANELISTS INTER ALIA DISCUSSED THE
EFFECTS OF THE POPULATION GROWTH IN AFRICA. THE PANELISTS
SAW THE POPULATION GROWTH RATE AS EXASERBATING OTHER
PROBLEMS BUT NOT AS BIG A PROBLEM FOR AFRICA AS BAD
GOVERNANCE.
SUCCESS STORIES HEARING POSTPONED
-- THE AUGUST 9 HFAC AF SUBCOMMITTEE HEARING ON SUCCESS
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STATE 214360 110811Z
STORIES HAS BEEN POSTPONED, PROBABLY UNTIL AFTER THE
AUGUST RECESS.
12. (U) CALENDAR 1994
1994
AUGUST
//////
AUG. 28: MUNICIPAL AND DEPARTMENTAL ELECTIONS IN GABON.
OCTOBER
UNCLASSIFIED
OCT. 2 SAO TOME AND PRINCIPE PARLIAMENTARY ELECTIONS.
UNCLASSIFIED
OCT. 27-28 MOZAMBIQUE ELECTIONS.
END OF REPORT.
13. (LOU) A FINAL REMINDER: PLEASE BEAR IN MIND THAT
DISTRIBUTION IS RESTRICTED TO STATE PERSONNEL ONLY.
14. AF STADIS ONLY. ASMARA, BUJUMBURA, KHARTOUM AND
LUANDA MINIMIZE CONSIDERED.
CHRISTOPHER
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