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FM AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA
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INFO AMEMBASSY KHARTOUM PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY NAIROBI PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY DAR ES SALAAM PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY KAMPALA PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY KINSHASA
AMEMBASSY CAIRO
USCINCCENT MACDILL AFB FL//CCJ2//
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AMEMBASSY ASMARA
CONFIDENTIALSECTION 01 OF 02 ADDIS ABABA 004496
DEPARTMENT FOR AF-MOOSE AND AF/E
E.O. 12356:DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL, UG, SU
SUBJECT: A/S MOOSE AND MUSEVENI DISCUSS RWANDA AND SUDAN
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REF: TUNIS 4044
1.
CONFIDENTIAL - ENTIRE TEXT.
2. INTRODUCTION AND SUMMARY: ON 13 JUNE ASSISTANT
SECRETARY OF STATE GEORGE MOOSE DISCUSSED THE SITUATIONS
IN RWANDA AND SUDAN WITH UGANDAN PRESIDENT MUSEVENI
WHILE BOTH WERE IN TUNIS FOR THE OAU SUMMIT. MUSEVENT
SUPPORTED A/S MOOSE'S ASSERTION THAT INTERNATIONAL
CROSS-BORDER ACTIVITIES TO PROTECT CIVILIANS MIGHT GAIN
THE CONFIDENCE OF THE RPF AND FORESTALL THE ERUPTIONS OF
UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF STATE
REVIEW AUTHORITY: ARCHIE M BOLSTER
CLASSIFICATION: CONFIDENTIAL REASON: 1.4(B), 1.4(0)
DECLASSIFY AFTER: 16 SEP 2016
DATE/CASE ID: 06 MAY 2011 201005065
UNCLASSIFIED
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BLOODSHED IN BURUNDI./
I
END SUMMARY AND
INTRODUCTION.
UNCLASSIFIED
RWANDA
3. A/S MOOSE TOLD MUSEVENI THAT HE BELIEVED THE
PROTECTION OF THREATENED POPULATIONS IN RWANDA WAS VITAL
TO BRINGING PEACE TO THAT COUNTRY AND PREVENTING
PARALLEL MASSACRES IN BURUNDI. AN INTERNATIONAL FORCE
WHICH WAS SEEN AS IMPARTIALLY PROTECTING CIVILIANS MIGHT
GAIN THE CONFIDENCE OF THE RWANDA PATRIOTIC FRONT (RPF)
AND THE RWANDA GOVERNMENT. BOTH MOOSE AND MUSEVENI
AGREED THAT THIS MIGHT OVERCOME RPF OPPOSITION TO
INTERNATIONAL ACTION WHICH THE RPF HAS INTERPRETED AS A
FRENCH-INSPIRED PLAN TO RESCUE THE CURRENT REGIME. IF
THE RPF OBSERVED THAT TUTSI LIVES WERE BEING PROTECTED
IT MIGHT BE MORE INCLINED TO STOP ITS ADVANCE. MOOSE
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WENT ON TO ASSERT THAT IF THE SITUATION IN RWANDA WERE
STABILIZED - POSSIBLY LEADING TO A CEASE-FIRE - THE
LIKELIHOOD OF A "CONTAGION EFFECT" CAUSED BY RWANDAN
REFUGEES IN BURUNDI MIGHT BE LESSENED CONSIDERABLY.
MUSEVENI AGREED THAT SUCH A FORCE COULD CONDUCT
CROSS-BORDER HUMANITARIAN INTERVENTIONS FROM UGANDA AND
ACCEPTED A/S MOOSE'S REQUEST TO ATTEMPT TO ENLIST OTHER
REGIONAL LEADERS, SPECIFICALLY THE INTERIM PRESIDENT OF
BURUNDI.
MUSEVENI THANKED A/S MOOSE FOR HELPING HIM SEE THE
4.
PICTURE MORE CLEARLY. THE PRESIDENT AGREED THAT
PROTECTING CIVILIANS OF ALL ETHNIC GROUPS WAS KEY TO
GAINING RPF TRUST. HE CAUTIONED THAT WHATEVER ACTION
WAS TAKEN IT SHOULD AIM FOR ESTABLISHING PEACE WHILE
DEEP-SEATED POLITICAL PROBLEMS ARE ADDRESSED. IT SHOULD
NOT DEGENERATE INTO A "UNOSOM-AIDEED TYPE" CONTEST.
SUDAN
MUSEVENI SAID THAT BOTH THE RPF AND THE SOUTHERN
5.
PEOPLE'S LIBERATION ARMY (SPLA) WERE POORLY EQUIPPED AND
UNCLASSIFIED
MABLE TO FIGHT A "QUICK WAR." BOTH PRACTICED
'SURGING", WHEREBY THEY TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THE TERRAIN TO
;IMPOUND THE ENEMY, DRAW HIM OUT, AND BEAT HIM. 13a.
rHEY WERE ABLE TO INFLICT CASUALTIES BUT NOT ABLE TO
ACHIEVE CONCLUSIVE RESULTS. RECOUNTING HIS DISCUSSION
)7ITH PRESIDENTIAL ENVOY WELLS, MUSEVENI VERBALLY
FOR SU.
DAN IF THE CONFLICT
SKETCHED HIS DECISION TREE
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IS TO04BE SOLVED POLITICALLY, THE PARTIES MUST BEGIN WITH
A CEASE-FIRE, MOVE TO NEGOTIATIONS, AND CONCLUDE WITH A
REFERENDUM OR ELECTIONS. IF THE PARTIES CHOOSE A
MILITARY SOLUTION, NEITHER SIDE (ESPECIALLY THE SPLA)
SHOULD BE HANDICAPPED BY THE INTERNATIONAL COMMUNITY.
A/S MOOSE SAID THAT THIS IS THE CRUX OF THE DEBATE IN
THE U.S. ABOUT THE BOSNIA ARMS BOYCOTT. MUSEVENI OPINED
THAT IF BOTH SIDES KNEW THAT THE OTHER HAD ACCESS TO
ARS EACH WOULD BE MORE WILLING TO RESOLVE THE DISPUTE
ATMTHE CONFERENCE TABLE. IF THE AGGRESSOR KNEW HIS
RIVAL HAD LIMITED ACCESS TO ARMS HE WOULD BE MORE
INCLINED TO A MILITARY SOLUTION.
6. N RESPONSE, A/S MOOSE SAID THAT THE USG WANTED TO
I GOS PROFESSED DESIRE TO PARTICIPATE IN THE PEACE
TEST
PROCESS./
MOOSE SAID
INTERNATIONAL
THAT THE U.S. WOULD LIKE TO SEE MEANINGFUL
- TAKEN
SANCTIONS - BEGINNING WITH AN ARMS EMBARGO
AGAINST WHICHEVER PARTY WAS NOT INTERESTED IN A
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P 171421Z JUN 94
FM AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA
TO SECSTATE WASHDC PRIORITY 2813
INFO AMEMBASSY KHARTOUM PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY NAIROBI PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY DAR ES SALAAM PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY KAMPALA PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY KINSHASA
AMEMBASSY CAIRO
USCINCCENT MACDILL AFB FL//CCJ2//
AMEMBASSY NDJAMENA
AMEMBASSY ASMARA
CONFIDENTIALSECTION 02 OF 02 ADDIS ABABA 004496
DEPARTMENT FOR AF-MOOSE AND AVE
E.O. 12356:DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL, UG, SU
SUBJECT: A/S MOOSE AND MUSEVENI DISCUSS RWANDA AND SUDAN
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CEASE-FIRE.
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7.
A/S MOOSE DID NOT CLEAR THIS MESSAGE.
8.
MINIMIZE CONSIDERED.
BAAS
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