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KIGALI 04936 011128Z
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DODE-00 EUR-01 HA-09
INFO LOG-00 CIAE-00 C-01
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80760C 011129Z /38
O 011129Z DEC 92
FM AMEMBASSY KIGALI
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 2387
INFO AMEMBASSY DAR ES SALAAM IMMEDIATE
AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BONN PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BRUSSELS PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BUJUMBURA PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY KAMPALA PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY PARIS PRIORITY
CONFIDENTIALKIGALI 04936
E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL, RW
SUBJECT: ARUSHA TO CONTINUE BUT MAJOR ISSUES
UNRESOLVED
REF: KIGALI 4921
1.
C - ENTIRE TEXT.
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ACCORDING
TO
PRELIMINARY READOUT FROM THE
2.
PRESIDENCY, THE ARUSHA TALKS ARE TO CONTINUE ON THE
BASIS OF THE PROPOSAL MADE BY THE CLERGY AND ACCEPTED
BY THE GOVERNMENT NOVEMBER 28 IN THE ABSENCE OF THE
MRND MINISTERS. THERE IS ONE MAJOR QUALIFICATION:
HABYARIMANA INSISTS THAT THE PRINCIPLE BE MAINTAINED
THAT NO POLITICAL PARTY (READ MRND) BE PERMANENTLY
MARGINALIZED. THIS PRINCIPLE WAS APPARENTLY AGREED
TO BY PRESIDENT MWINYI DURING THE HABYARIMANA-MWINYI
MEETING IN DAR ES SALAAM NOVEMBER 30. ACCORDING TO
CABINET DIRECTOR RUHIGIRA, THE INSTRUCTIONS THAT WILL
UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF STATE
REVIEW AUTHORITY: CHARLES L DARIS
DATE/CASE ID: 01 OCT 2008 200103014
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
BE SENT TO THE DELEGATION WILL CONTAIN THIS PRINCIPLE
AND SUGGEST ITS IMPLEMENTATION THROUGH A FURTHER
DISCUSSION OF THE ARTICLE 21 PROVISION FOR A
TWO-THIRDS VOTE.
3. MRND MINISTERS ARE HARDENING THEIR POSITIONS.
MANY ARE PREPARED TO STAY OUT OF THE GOVERNMENT
RATHER THAN TO ACCEPT A POSITION WHICH THEY PERCEIVE
TO BE ONE OF PERMANENT MINORITY. MOREOVER, THEY ARE
NOW SAID TO BE UNWILLING TO ENTER THE GOVERNMENT
WITHOUT HAVING THE CDR ALSO PRESENT. MDR PRESIDENT
TWAGIRAMUNGU TOLD ME THIS MORNING THAT THE OTHER
PARTIES COULD NEVER ACCEPT THE CDR IN THE GOVERNMENT
UNLESS THE RPF WERE TO ACCEPT IT. PL LEADER MUGENZI
IS EVEN MORE INTRANSIGENT. BOTH PARTY LEADERS ARE
VERY SMUG ABOUT THE WAY THEY OUTMANUEVERED THE MRND
MINISTERS IN THE NOVEMBER 28 CABINET MEETING.
NEITHER SEEMS TO COMPREHEND THE DEGREE OF ANIMOSITY
CREATED AMONG THE MRND BY THE CUTE MANEUVER OF
PASSING A FUNDAMENTAL POLICY MOTION WHILE THE MRND
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MINISTERS WERE NOT PRESENT.
4. COMMENT: APPARENTLY, MWINYI PUT SOME PRESSURE ON
HABYARIMANA TO MOVE FORWARD IN THE NEGOTIATIONS ON
THE BASIS OF THE CLERGY PROPOSAL. THE PRINCIPLE THAT
WAS SALVAGED, THE NONMARGINALIZATION OF THE MEND, IS
NOT ACCEPTED BY THE OPPOSITION PARTIES. AND THE
PROPOSITION TO REOPEN ARTICLE 21, HOWEVER DISGUISED
IT MAY SEEM IN THE FINAL GOR PROPOSAL, COULD WELL
CAUSE MAJOR DIFFICULTY BOTH FOR THE INTERNAL PARTIES
AND WITH THE RPF. I AM MEETING AGAIN THIS AFTERNOON
WITH THE PAPAL NUNCIO AND THE WESTERN AMBASSADORS, IN
A CONTINUING CLIMATE OF INSECURITY, INTENSIFIED BY
THE KILLING OF A CANADIAN PRIEST BY PERSONS IN
UNIFORM, AND RENEWED THREATS TO THE LIVES OF MUGENZI
AND TWAGIRAMUNGU. END COMMENT. PLATEN
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