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ACTION 10-16
USUN N 00312 311435Z
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1FD03E 311436Z /38
O 242344Z JAN 94 ZDK
FM USMISSION USUN NEW YORK
TO AMEMBASSY KIGALI IMMEDIATE
SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 3906
INFO AMEMBASSY KAMPALA PRIORITY
WHITEHOUSE WASHDC
JOINT STAFF WASHDC
SECDEF WASHDC
USCINCEUR VAIHINGEN GE
UN SECURITY COUNCIL COLLECTIVE
AMEMBASSY OTTAWA
AMEMBASSY NAIROBI
AMEMBASSY BUJUMBURA
AMEMBASSY BRUSSELS
AMEMBASSY DAR ES SALAAM
AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA
AMEMBASSY MUSCAT
C O N F I D E N T I A L USUN NEW YORK 000312
CONFIDENTIAL
USUN N 00312 311435Z
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C ORRECTEDCOPY- MUSCAT ADDED
DEPT FOR IO/UNP, IO/PHO, Ar/c AND L/AF;
WHITEHOUSE PASS TO NSC FOR JENNIFER WARD;
JOINT STAFF FOR CHAIRMAN, DIR JS, J3;
SECDEF FOR OSD/ISA
E.0.12356: DECL:OADR
TAGS: MOPS, PREL, MARK, PGOV, KDEM, RW, UNSC
SUBJECT: UN CONCERN OVER RWANDA
1.
CONFIDENTIAL - ENTIRE TEXT.
2.
ACTION REQUEST: PARA. 8
UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF STATE
REVIEW AUTHORITY: CHARLES L DAMS
DATE/CASE ID: 25 OCT 2006 200103014
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CIAE-00
HA-09
NSAE-00
F 01
TRSE-00
-
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3. SUMMARY: AT THE REQUEST OF UNDPKO'S HEDI ANNABI,
USUN POLOFFS MET TO DISCUSS THE DETERIORIATING SITUATION
IN RWANDA. ANNABI IS CONCERNED THAT THE COMBINATION OF
INCREASING COVERT ACTIVITIES AND A STALEMATED POLITICAL
PROCESS COULD PRODUCE A POTENTIALLY EXPLOSIVE
ATMOSPHERE. HE HAS ALREADY COMMUNICATED THESE FEARS TO
BOTH FRANCE AND BELGIUM, HAS SOLICITED THEIR
PARTICIPATION IN DEFUSING THE EMERGING CRISIS, AND IS
NOW MAKING A SIMILAR REQUEST OF THE US.
A BREWING CRISIS IN RWANDA?
4. DPKO'S HEDI ANNABI OUTLINED AN EMERGING CRISIS IN
RWANDA AS A CONSEQUENCE OF TWO PRESSING ISSUES. FIRST,
THE GOVERNMENT IS ACTIVELY INVOLVED IN DISTRIBUTING ARMS
AND TRAINING ITS MILITIA; THESE COVERT ACTIVITIES ARE
PARTICULARLY DISTURBING GIVEN THE PRESENCE OF A RPF
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USUN N 00312 311435Z
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BATTALION IN KIGALI. SECOND, THE OPPOSITION PARTIES ARE
COMPETING OVER THE LISTS FOR THE UPCOMING ELECTION,
WHICH IS BLOCKING THE ESTABLISHMENT OF THE TRANSITIONAL
GOVERNMENT. THE TIMETABLE FOR POLITICAL RECONCILIATION
IS ALREADY BEHIND SCHEDULE, AND ANNABI IS CONCERNED THAT
FURTHER DELAQS WILL ONLY JEOPARDIZE THE SUCCESSFUL
IMPLEMENTATION OF THE ARUSHA ACCORDS AND ULTIMATELY ADD
TO THE FINANCIAL COST OF THE OPERATION.
5. ANNABI COMMENTED THAT THE MILITARIZATION AND
POLITICAL STALEMATE MUST BE READ AGAINST THE BACKDROP OF
A DETERIORATING ECONOMIC AND POLITICAL SITUATION: THERE
ARE NO SALARIES FOR CIVIL SERVICE EMPLOYEES, THE
MILITARY, AND OTHER PUBLIC EMPLOYEES, WHICH ONLY ADDS TO
AN INCREASING FLAMMABLE ENVIRONMENT (AND ALREADY HAS LED
TO DEMONSTRATIONS AND RIOTS).
UN RESPONDS
6. IN RESPONSE TO THE REPORTS THAT PRESIDENT
HABYARIMANA'S MILITIAS WERE RECEIVING ARMS, GENERAL
DALLAIRE PLANNED A VERQ AGRESSIVE DEMARCHE TO THE
PRESIDENT; UN OFFICIALS, HOWEVER, CONVINCED DALLAIRE
THAT A MORE SUBTLE APPROACH MIGHT BE MORE EFFECTIVE AT
THIS TIME. ACCORDINGLY, A FEW WEEKS AGO DALLIARE SIMPLY
DISCUSSED HIS CONCERNS WITH THE PRESIDENT. ALTHOUGH THE
PRESIDENT DENIED INVOLVEMENT IN SUCH EVENTS, APPARENTLY
HE NOTED AND WAS IMPRESSED BY THE GENERAL'S CONCERN.
7.
THE UN HAS ALSO ASKED THE "FRIENDS OF RWANDA" -
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FRANCE, BELGIUM, AND THE US - TO TAKE A MORE ACTIVE ROLE
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IN BROKERING THE CURRENT POLITICAL STALEMATE: BELGIUM
HAS AGREED TO APPROACH THE RPF; FRANCE HAS AGREED TO
APPROACH THE GOVERNMENT; AND THE UN IS NOW ASKING THE US
TO APPROACH BOTH THE GOVERNMENT AND THE RPF. THE UN
HOPES THAT IT CAN DEFUSE THE CRISIS AT THE "FRIENDS"
LEVEL, AND THEREBY AVOID HAVING TO BRING IT TO THE
SECURITY COUNCIL.
8. ACTION REQUEST: UN ASKS THE US TO APPROACH THE
GOVERNMENT, THE RPF, AND OTHER OPPOSITION PARTIES IN AN
ATTEMPT TO RESOLVE THE CURRENT POLITICAL STALEMATE.
ALBRIGHT
CONFIDENTIAL
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