Citation
CONFIDENTIAL
RELEASED IN PART
Bl, 1.4(B), 1.4(D)
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ACTION AF-01
PARIS 34858 161448Z
INFO LOG-00
HA-09
NSCE-00
SCT-03
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OASY-00
AID-01 CIAE-00 C-01
INRE-00 INR-01 L-03
H-01
PRS-01
PM-02
OMB-01 PA-01
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86E2AB 161612Z /38
R 161436Z DEC 92
FM AMEMBASSY PARIS
TO SECSTATE WASHDC 7643
INFO AMEMBASSY BRUSSELS
AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA
AMEMBASSY BUJUMBURA
AMEMBASSY DAR ES SALAAM
AMEMBASSY KAMPALA
AMEMBASSY KIGALI
AMEMBASSY DAKAR
AMEMBASSY LAGOS
AMEMBASSY LONDON
CONFIDENTIALPARIS 34858
E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL, MARR, FR, RW,
SUBJECT: A/S COHEN'S DISCUSSIONS WITH THE FRENCH ON
RWANDA, DECEMBER 14
REF: KIGALI 5048
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1.
PARIS 34858 161448Z
CONFIDENTIAL - ENTIRE TEXT.
2. AT THE END OF A WORKING BREAKFAST IN PARIS ON
DECEMBER 14 LARGELY DEDICATED TO SOMALIA, A/S COHEN
BRIEFLY DISCUSSED RWANDA WITH PRESIDENT MITTERRAND'S
SENIOR ADVISOR ON AFRICAN AFFAIRS BRUNO DELAYE AND WITH
JEAN-MARC DE LA SABLIERE, THE QUAI'S DIRECTOR OF
AFRICAN AFFAIRS.
3.
Fll
UNCLASSIFIED
DELAYE NOTED THAT HE BELIEVES THE NEGOTIATIONS AT
UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF STATE
REVIEW AUTHORITY: ARCHIE M BOLSTER
CLASSIFICATION: CONFIDENTIAL REASON: 1.4(B), 1.4(D)
DECLASSIFY AFTER: 18 DEC 2015
DATE/CASE ID: 04 NOV 2011 201005065
UNCLASSIFIED
EUR-01
NSAE-00
SB-00
USIE-00
ARUSHA ARE RAPIDLY APPROACHING THE END-GAME. RWANDAN
PRESIDENT HABYARIMANA IS NERVOUS AND FEELS HE IS IN
TROUBLE. HABYARIMANA RECENTLY WROTE TO MITTERRAND
ASKED FOR A MEETING AND STATING THAT HE WAS PREPARED TO
ACCEPT 90 PERCENT OF THE RPF'S DEMANDS AT ARUSHA -- BUT
THAT HE CAN NOT ALLOW THE MRND TO BE MARGINALIZED
WITHIN THE GOVERNMENT. NO DECISION HAS YET BEEN MADE
ON WHETHER TO SCHEDULE A CALL FOR HABYARIMANA, BUT IT
IS LIKELY MITTERRAND WILL AGREE TO ONE IN EARLY 1993.
UNCLASSIFIED
4. ACCORDING TO DELAYE, HABYARIMANA BELIEVES THAT A
LONG TRANSITION WILL DESTABILIZE THE COUNTRY,
ESPECIALLY IF THE CENTRAL GOVERNMENT IS DIVIDED. FOR
THAT REASON, HE FAVORS FIRST HOLDING ELECTIONS AT THE
LOCAL LEVEL TO ASSURE A STABLE AND REPRESENTATIVE LOCAL
AUTHORITY. HABYARIMANA ALSO WISHES TO BRING EXTREMIST
HUTU ELEMENTS INTO THE GOVERNMENT IN ORDER TO PRECLUDE
THEIR TAKING THEIR CAUSE INTO THE STREETS. DE LA
SABLIERE SAID THE GOF FOUND THESE TWO POINTS REASONABLE.
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PARIS 34858 161448Z
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DE
LA
SABLIERE
ADDED THAT THE QUAI IS NOT CONVINCED
5.
THAT THE RPF HAS TOTALLY RENOUNCED A MILITARY SOLUTION,
131
6. WE REPLIED THAT THE U.S. IS LESS CERTAIN OF RPF
INTENTIONS. WE BELIEVE THE THE RPF PROBABLY COULD HAVE
CAPTURED MUCH OF THE COUNTRY DURING THE 1992 SUMMER
THE
FIGHTING,
HAS
RPF DIDN'l ADVANCE OR THE LA211AL AND SINGE THEN
RESPECTED THE CEASE FIRE AT LEAST AS WELL AS THE FAR.
IN OUR VIEW, THE RPF BELIEVES IT COULD WIN A WAR BUT
REALIZES IT CAN NOT GOVERN RWANDA BECAUSE IT REPRESENTS
TOO SMALL A MINORITY. WE THINK THE RPF IS NEGOTIATING
IN GOOD FAITH BUT IT IS EXASPERATED BY THE WRANGLING
BETWEEN THE MNRD AND THE OTHER INTERNAL PARTIES.
I
131
131
UNCLASSIFIED
8. THIS MESSAGE WAS CLEARED BY A/S COHEN.
UNCLASSIFIED
CURLEY
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UNCLASSIFIED
