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CF1F18 241021Z /38
O 241010Z JUN 93
FM AMEMBASSY KIGALI
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4141
INFO AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BAMAKO PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BONN PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BRUSSELS PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BUJUMBURA PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY DAKAR PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY DAR ES SALAAM PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY HARARE PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY KAMPALA PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY LAGOS PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY LILONGWE PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY LONDON PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY NAIROBI PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY TUNIS PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY YAOUNDE PRIORITY
USCINCEUR VAIHINGEN GE PRIORITY
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CONFIDENTIALSECTION 01 OF 03 KIGALI 02396
LILONGWE AND YAOUNDE FOR DATT
E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL, MASS, AORC, OAU, RW
SUBJECT: ARUSHA POSTPONEMENT
REFS: (A) STATE 190873 , (B) KIGALI 02381
1. CONFIDENTIAL ENTIRE TEXT.
UNITED STATES DEPARTMENT OF STATE
REVIEW AUTHORITY: CHARLES L DARIS
DATE/CASE ID: 15 DEC 2005 200103014
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
2. SUMMARY: PRESIDENT HABYARIMANA TOLD THE
TANZANIAN AMBASSADOR THAT A NEW DATE FOR SIGNING
PEACE WITH THE RPF IN ARUSHA WOULD BE ARRANGED WITH
THE TANZANIANS ONCE ALL ISSUES ARE RESOLVED AND THE
FOREIGN MINISTER HAS RETURNED TO KIGALI TO EXPLAIN
THE ACCORD TO THE GOVERNMENT, THE POLITICAL PARTIES
AND THE CND. MEANWHILE, DEADLOCK CONTINUES OVER THE
NOMINATION OF THE PRIME MINISTER FOR THE NEXT
TRANSITION GOVERNMENT. MANY RWANDANS SEE THE DELAY
AS A DELIBERATE ATTEMPT BY HABYARIMANA TO PREVENT
PEACE. THIS CONCLUSION IGNORES THE FACT THAT FOR THE
FIRST TIME THE PRESIDENT'S MRND IS IN AGREEMENT ON
BOTH POINTS WITH THE OPPOSITION PL, PSD, AND PARTS OF
THE MDR. CHANCES OF SIGNING BEFORE THE OAU SUMMIT
ARE REMOTE, BUT WE BELIEVE ALL PARTIES HERE ARE EAGER
TO COMPELTE THE PROCESS EARLY IN JULY. END SUMMARY.
THE TANZANIANS BACK OFF
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KIGALI 02396 01 OF 03 241021Z
3. REFTELS REPORTED A TANZANIAN EFFORT TO PERSUADE
HABYARIMANA TO GO TO ARUSHA TODAY TO COMPLETE THE
NEGOTIATIONS HIMSELF. THIS WAS THE STRONG PREFERENCE
OF AMBASSADOR MBEZI AND APPARENTLY OF AMBASSADOR
MPUNGWE IN ARUSHA, BUT AT THE LAST MINUTE MBEZI WAS
NOT AUTHORIZED TO URGE THE PRESIDENT TO GO TO
ARUSHA. SHE WAS RATHER TASKED TO EXPRESS THE
DISAPPOINTMENT OF THE GOVERMENT OF TANZANIA WITH THE
FACT THAT THE SIGNING DID NOT TAKE PLACE ON JUNE 24,
AND TO SUGGEST THAT IT WOULD, IN THE VIEW OF THE
TANZANIAN GOVERNMENT, BE POSSIBLE TO HAVE A
RATIFICATION AFTER THE SIGNATURE. AMBASSADOR MBEZI
TOLD ME THAT THE TAMZANIAN GOVERNMENT PROPOSED TO
MAKE NO PUBLIC STATEMENT ON THE POSTPONEMENT.
4. AMBASSADOR MBEZI, HOWEVER, WAS QUITE UPSET WITH
THE DELAY, AND FELT THAT HABYARIMANA DID NOT ENTER
INTO A DIALOGUE WITH HER ON THE POSTPONEMENT, BUT
RATHER ASKED HER TO TRANSMIT TO PRESIDENT MWINYI THE
FOLLOWING MESSAGE:
-- THE TWO PARTIES MUST COMPLETE THE NEGOTIATIONS,
THEN THE MINISTER OF FOREIGN AFFAIRS WILL RETURN TO
UNCLASSIFIED
UNCLASSIFIED
KIGALI TO EXPLAIN TO THE GOVERNMENT, TO THE POLITICAL
PARTIES AND TO PARLIAMENT THE MEANING OF THE ACCORD.
AND FINALLY A NEW DATE WILL BE ARRANGED IN
CONSULTATION WITH THE TANZANIAN FACILITATOR. THE
PRESIDENT DID REAFFIRM TO AMBASSADOR MBEZI HIS
INTENTION TO GO TO ARUSHA TO SIGN THE FINAL ACCORD.
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KIGALI 02396 01 OF 03 241021Z
A PRIME MINISTER?
5. INTERVIEWED ON RADIO RWANDA, THE PRIME MINISTER,
DISMAS NSENGIYAREMYE, INSISTED THAT HIS CANDIDATURE
FOR PRIME MINISTER IN THE NEW GOVERNMENT WAS PROPERLY
PRESENTED (IT WASN'T). HE SEES IN THE CHALLENGE A
MOVE BY THOSE WHO HAVE ALWAYS OPPOSED PEACE AS A
PRETEXT FOR REFUSING PEACE AND CONTINUING THE WAR.
IN HIS TURN, MDR PRESIDENT FAUSTIN TWAGIRAMUNGU
DECLINED TO RESPOND TO QUESTIONS FROM THE PRESS,
POINTING OUT THAT THE POLITICAL BUREAU OF THE PARTY
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CF1F2C 241022Z /38
O 241010Z JUN 93
FM AMEMBASSY KIGALI
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4142
INFO AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BAMAKO PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BONN PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BRUSSELS PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BUJUMBURA PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY DAKAR PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY DAR ES SALAAM PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY HARARE PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY KAMPALA PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY LAGOS PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY LILONGWE PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY LONDON PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY NAIROBI PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY TUNIS PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY YAOUNDE PRIORITY
USCINCEUR VAIHINGEN GE PRIORITY
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C ONFIDENTIALSECTION 02 OF 03 KIGALI 02396
LILONGWE AND YAOUNDE FOR DATT
E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL, MASS, AORC, OAU, RW
SUBJECT: ARUSHA POSTPONEMENT
HAS NOT YET MET TO GIVE ITS OFFICIAL POSITION ON THE
ISSUE.
6. ON JUNE 23RD, WE RECEIVED REPORTS THAT THE
POLITICAL BUREAU HAD ALREADY MET AND HAD DECIDED TO
REJECT TWAGIRAMUNGU AND FULLY SUPPORT THE PRIME
MINISTER. IN FACT, A USUALLY RELIABLE SOURCE CALLED
ME DIRECTLY TO GIVE ME A VERY DETAILED SUMMARY OF THE
POLITICAL BUREAU MEETING, A MEETING WHICH HAS NOT YET
TAKEN PLACE. FROM POINT OF FACT, THE MDR HAS REFUSED
TO MEET UNTIL IT RECEIVES THE FORMAL REJECTION BY THE
GOVERNMENT OF THE MDR NOMINATION OF DISMAS
NSENGIYAREMYE. THIS HAS NOW BEEN RECEIVED, AND THE
MDR IS SCHEDULED TO MEET TODAY.
UNCLASSIFIED
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KIGALI REACTION
7. THERE IS WIDE AND DEEP DISAPPOINTMENT IN KIGALI
OVER POSTPONEMENT OF THE SIGNATURE OF THE ARUSHA
PEACE ACCORD. MANY RWANDANS FEAR THAT THE LAST
CHANCE FOR PEACE HAS BEEN LOST AND WAR WILL COME BACK
AGAIN. MANY BELIEVE THAT PRESIDENT HABYARIMANA NEVER
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KIGALI 02396 02 OF 03 241021Z
WANTED TO MAKE PEACE IN THE FIRST PLACE AND HAS NOW
SUCCEEDED IN MANIPULATING THE OTHER PARTIES TO HELP
HIM AVOID THE UNPLEASANTNESS OF PEACE.
S. AT THE SAME TIME, THE POLITICAL LEADERSHIP SEEMS
SO PREOCCUPIED WITH THE MINI CRISIS THEY HAVE CREATED
OVER THE APPOINTMENT OF THE PRIME MINISTER, THAT THEY
SEEM NOT PARTICULARLY CONCERNED ABOUT THE DELAY.
POLITICAL PARTY LEADERS FROM MDR AND PL HAVE IMPLIED
THAT THEY HAD SUFFICIENT CONTACTS WITH THE RPF BEFORE
RAISING THE PRIME MINISTER ISSUE SO THAT THEY ARE
CONFIDENT THAT THE RPF WILL NOT WALK AWAY FROM THE
TABLE WHILE THIS IS IN PLAY.
9. THE PRESIDENT PLANS TO LEAVE SATURDAY, JUNE 26,
FOR THE OAU SUMMIT IN CAIRO. HIS CABINET DIRECTOR,
ENOCH RUHIGIRA, IS TODAY RESUMING LOBBYING EFFORTS
WITH THE CND TO FACILITATE ACCEPTANCE OF ACCORD WHEN
COMPLETED. RUHIGIRA HOPES THAT ALL DETAILS WILL BE
COMPLETED BEFORE THE SUMMIT AND THAT SIGNATURE CAN BE
HELD IN ARUSHA ON THE WAY BACK FROM CAIRO.
COMMENT
10. THE PRIME MINISTER HAS AN UPHILL BATTLE BECAUSE
FOR FIRST TIME THE MRND, THE PL, THE PSD AND PART OF
HIS OWN MDR PARTY ARE UNITED. THIS IS THE TYPE OF
INTER-PARTY COOPERATION THAT WE HAVE BEEN TRYING TO
ENCOURAGE FOR A YEAR AND A HALF. THE IRONY OF IT IS
THAT IT HAPPENS ONLY AT A TIME WHEN ITS EFFECT IS TO
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KIGALI 02396 02 OF 03 2410212
FURTHER DELAY THE PROCESS OF PEACE.
11. IF THE PRIME MINISTER LOSES IN HIS PARTY, THE
CONSENSUS CANDIDATE FOR PRIME MINISTER WILL BE MDR
PRESIDENT FAUBTIN TWAGIRAMUNGU. IF THE PRIME
MINISTER WINS IN THE PARTY, HE WILL HAVE TWAGIRAMUNGU
SUSPENDED FROM THE PARTY IN ORDER TO FORECLOSE ANY
POSSIBILITY THAT TWAGIRAMUNGU COULD BE A CANDIDATE
FOR PRIME MINISTER. THIS IS BECAUSE THE PROTOCOLS
CALL FOR THE MDR TO PROPOSE THE PRIME MINISTER AND IF
FAUBTIN TWAGIRAMUNGU IS NO LONGER A PART OF THE
PARTY, HE COULD NOT BE A FURTHER CHALLENGE TO
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ACTION AF-01
INFO LOG-00
DOEE-00
10-19
OMB-01
SS-00
/065W
KIGALI 02396 03 OF 03 241022Z
ACDA-17
EB-01
L-03
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TRSE-00
AID-01 CIAE-00 C-01
OASY-00 DODE-00
EUR-01 HA-09
H-01
TEDE-00 INR-00
ADS-00 NEA-01 NSAE-00 NSCE-00 01C-02
PM-02
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SNP-00 SP-00
T-00
USIE-00 DTC-01 RPE-01 CORE-00
CF1F31 241022Z /38
0 241010Z JUN 93
FM AMEMBASSY KIGALI
TO SECSTATE WASHDC IMMEDIATE 4143
INFO AMEMBASSY ADDIS ABABA PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BAMAKO PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BONN PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BRUSSELS PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY BUJUMBURA PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY DAKAR PRIORITY
AMEMBASSY DAR ES SALAAM PRIORITY
UNCLASSIFIED
AMEMBASSY
AMEMBASSY
AMEMBASSY
AMEMBASSY
AMEMBASSY
AMEMBASSY
AMEMBASSY
AMEMBASSY
USCINCEUR
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HARARE PRIORITY
KAMPALA PRIORITY
LAGOS PRIORITY
LILONGWE PRIORITY
LONDON PRIORITY
NAIROBI PRIORITY
TUNIS PRIORITY
YAOULWGVKE PRIORITY
VAIHINGEN GE PRIORITY
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KIGALI 02396 03 OF 03 241022Z
CONFIDENTIALSECTION 03 OF 03 KIGALI 02396
LILONGWE AND YAOUNDE FOR DATT
E.O. 12356: DECL: OADR
TAGS: PREL, MASS, AORC, OAU, RW
SUBJECT: ARUSHA POSTPONEMENT
DIBMAS. SOME HERE EXPECT THE POLITICAL BUREAU
MEETING TO TAKE PLACE ON SUNDAY, JUNE 27, TO RESOLVE
THE ISSUE.
12. ON THE PEACE FRONT, IT APPEARS THAT THERE ARE
STILL ISSUES TO BE RESOLVED IN ARUSHA, THEREFORE, IT
IS UNLIKELY THAT WE WILL SEE A SIGNING UNTIL AFTER
THE CAIRO SUMMIT OF THE OAU. FLATEN
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